New York Yankees (97-69) vs Cleveland Guardians (95-71)
Game Info: Tuesday, October 15, 2024 at 7:38 pm (Yankee Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Yankees -175 / Cleveland Guardians +145 — Over/Under:
The Cleveland Guardians and the New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB playoffs action from Yankee Stadium. This will be Game 2 in a best-of-seven ALCS series. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Guardians vs Yankees pick. We will examine:
The Cleveland Guardians recent form and player performance
The New York Yankees recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cleveland Guardians
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Yankees
Recent betting trends in games played between Guardians and Yankees
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Guardians vs Yankees game
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
Cleveland had a tough Division series versus a plucky Detroit Tigers team, and it took all five games to decide a winner. The Guardians won the last two outings 5-4 and 7-3. In Monday’s ALCS opener versus the Yankees, Cleveland gave up three runs in the third on the way to a 5-2 loss. Alex Cobb surrendered those three earned in 2.2 innings with five hits and three walks in the start.
For the Game 2 starter gig, the Guardians will send out Tanner Bibee. This year Bibee went 12-8 with a 3.47 ERA in 31 starts. Bibee has two postseason starts in his career, posting a 2.08 ERA without a decision.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Over on the Yankees’ side, they split their two home games versus the Kansas City Royals 6-5 (win) and 4-2 (loss) in the Division Series but won both road games 3-2 and 3-1 to move on. In Monday’s matchup New York got a solo homer and two runs from Giancarlo Stanton. Starting pitcher Carlos Rodon was great in 6.0 innings with one earned on three hits alongside nine Ks.
As starting pitcher in Game 2, the Yankees are going with ace Gerrit Cole. In 2024 Cole was 8-5 with a 3.41 ERA in 17 starts. Over his career in the playoffs Cole is 11-6 with a 2.94 ERA in 19 starts.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Guardians’ last nine games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five night games at Yankee Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four games as road underdogs.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in four of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites against the Guardians.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last five games as favorites against the Guardians.
- Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in each of his four previous playoff appearances as starting pitcher with his team as a favorite against the Guardians.
- Gerrit Cole has recorded six or more strikeouts in 21 of his last 23 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL Central opponents.
- Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances against the Guardians.
- Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances against the Guardians at Yankee Stadium.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 home appearances against the Guardians.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded a hit in each of his last nine appearances in night playoff games.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded two or more total bases in each of his five previous playoff appearances at Yankee Stadium.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.701) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Brayan Rocchio has recorded an RBI in three of the Guardians’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last six road playoff games.
- Steven Kwan has recorded a hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight playoff games as underdogs.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last eight playoff games as underdogs.
- Brayan Rocchio has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Myles Straw has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
- Jose Ramirez ranks 5th in the league in Steals (41) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (815).
- The New York Yankees rank 3rd in the league for RBI’s this season (782).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (621).
Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Prediction
I’ll probably just stick with New York. Cole hasn’t had the most even campaign this year, and he gave up three earned in 5.0 innings during Game 1 of the Division Series. That said, Cole came back to pitch the decisive Game 4 on Thursday, posting 7.0 innings with one earned on six hits. As for Bibee, he’s given up two earned over 8.2 innings of work in his two postseason outings this year. We should have a fairly quiet scoreboard while the two starters are out there.
On Monday the Yankees didn’t have a very dynamic offensive evening; Juan Soto had two of the team’s six hits. The major keys in the victory were the seven walks and the wild pitches by Cleveland, both leading to a few runs. I’d like to see New York’s bats get going a little better here, but they should be in good shape behind Cole.