Cleveland (56-55) vs New York (63-49)
August 4, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Cleveland Guardians and New York Mets meet Monday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Pick.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 56-55 on the year and play the White Sox, Marlins, and Braves next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .229 on the season, have a .302 OBP, and a .378 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 123 hits and 61 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Carlos Santana have combined for 200 hits and 84 RBI.
Slade Cecconi gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 5-4 with a 3.77 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. This will be Cecconi’s second career game against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 63-49 on the year and play the Brewers, Braves, and Mariners next. The New York Mets are batting .241 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .408 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 112 hits and 64 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 214 hits and 149 RBI.
Sean Manaea gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Manaea is 3-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 39 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The home team has won 10 of the last 11 games between the Guardians and Mets.
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won five of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents following a home loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against American League opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four home games.
- Sean Manaea has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded a hit in each of the Mets’ last six games against the Guardians.
- Sean Manaea has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at Citi Field.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T7th in the league in Hits (123) this season.
Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction
Right when it looked like the Mets were turning the corner, they have a poor week that has you questioning them again. However, I’m still not ready to give up on the Mets and Manaea has been incredible in 17.1 innings, allowing 11 hits and four runs while striking out 22. Cecconi has a 3.77 ERA and 1.22 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 15 runs in his last 34.1 innings. In 35 road innings, Cecconi has a 2.57 ERA and .231 allowed batting average. This feels like a respectable pitching matchup where runs will be hard to come by. I’ll take the under.