| MATCHUP | Cleveland Guardians | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 75-73 | 69-78 |
| Spread | -1.5 150 | +1.5 -182 |
| Moneyline | -108 | -112 |
| Total | Over 9 (-102) | Under 9 (-118) |
| Where | Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota | |
| When | Saturday, September 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Minnesota Twins Preview
The Minnesota Twins have a 69-78 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL Central. They have a 38-35 home record and are coming off a 2-5 home loss against the Guardians. They will face the Yankees and the Angels next.
The Minnesota Twins have a .245 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .405 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.67 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Luke Keaschall is the team’s best hitter with a .272 batting average. Josh Bell leads the team in RBI with 86, while Kody Clemens adds a team-high 26 home runs.
Connor Prielipp (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins, and he has a 4-7 record, 5.25 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 75-73 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL Central. They have a 39-34 away record and are coming off a 5-2 road win against the Twins. They will face the White Sox and the Athletics next.
The Cleveland Guardians have a .237 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .373 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Chase DeLauter is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average. Brayan Rocchio leads the team in RBI with 64, while Angel Martinez adds a team-high 15 home runs.
Daniel Espino (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 0-0 record, 2.70 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: September 12, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Connor Prielipp Record this season: 4-7 ERA: 5.25
- Home Record: 4-3
- Last 5 against Guardians: 0-1
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Guardians have lost five of their last six games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Twins have won five of their last six home games against AL opponents following a home loss.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Twins’ last five games at Target Field.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine home day games.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Daniel Espino Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 2.70
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Twins: –
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Twins following a win.
- The Twins have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Guardians following a home loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Twins.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Twins’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last five games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last seven day games against AL opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last four games at Target Field.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Kody Clemens has hit a home run in two of the Twins’ last three games.
- Connor Prielipp has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded a hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Travis Bazzana has recorded two hits in each of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Patrick Bailey has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Twins.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T7th in the league in Steals (31) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.67).
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (139).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.373).
Guardians vs Twins Prediction
The Guardians are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Twins and have won their last two visits in Minnesota.
In this Guardians vs Twins Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. I like the Guardians in this one, even though they are going for a bullpen game. Connor Prielipp has been fade material, as he has given up 17 runs across his last three starts and has lost all of his last four starts. The Guardians have superior numbers in their last five games, scoring 5.2 runs to the Twins’ 2.4 and also have a 1.14 bullpen ERA to the Twins’ 7.97. Take the Guardians to win.