| MATCHUP | Cleveland Guardians | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 39-35 | 45-26 |
| Spread | +1.5 -182 | -1.5 150 |
| Moneyline | +129 | -156 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-108) | Under 7.5 (-112) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Thursday, June 18, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 45-26 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 25-14 home record and are coming off a 9-4 home win against the Guardians. They will face the Braves and the Reds next.
The Brewers have a .255 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.42 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .291 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 46, adding a team-high 13 home runs.
Shane Drohan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 3-2 record, 3.59 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 39-35 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL Central. They have a 20-18 road record and are coming off a 4-9 road defeat against the Brewers. They will face the Braves and the White Sox next.
The Guardians have a .229 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .368 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Brayan Rocchio is the team’s best hitter with a .265 batting average. Chase DeLauter leads the team in RBI with 34, while Angel Martinez adds a team-high 11 home runs.
Parker Messick (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 6-3 record, 2.68 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: June 18, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Drohan Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 3.59
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Guardians: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 15 games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Guardians have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at American Family Field.
- The Guardians have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at American Family Field.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Parker Messick Record this season: 6-3 ERA: 2.68
- Road Record: 3-2
- Last 5 against Brewers: –
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won three of their last four games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 17 of the Guardians’ last 19 games.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Brewers’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Guardians’ last six road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight day games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Guardians’ last six day games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 14 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- David Hamilton ranks T10th in the league in Steals (15) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Brewers.
- Parker Messick ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.68) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (699).
- The Brewers rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (65).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for hits this season (555).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.368).
Guardians vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Guardians and are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Boston.
In this Guardians vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -160 home favorites. Messick has given up 7 runs in his last two starts and the Guardians have been dead last against southpaws in the last 10 days. The Brewers have the second-best offense in baseball, they have been very strong at home and are dominating this series with a combined 11-5 score, so I expect them to get the job done again today. Take the Brewers on the moneyline.