Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB Picks 10/9/24

David Racey

2 years ago

Detroit Tigers (89-77) vs Cleveland Guardians (93-70)

Game Info: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 3:08 pm (Comerica Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers -110 / Cleveland Guardians -110 — Over/Under: 7.5

In this article, we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, October 9th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the ALDS.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians won game one in this series by a score of 7-0, but they were shut out in the game two loss. Cleveland jumped on Detroit in the first inning of game one, but they really haven’t done much since that point. The Guardians really struggled to get anything going against Skubal in game two and allowed three runs in the ninth for the loss. Prior to the postseason, the Guardians won both games against the Astros, won both games against the Reds, and lost two out of three against the Cardinals. The winner of this series will meet the Royals or Yankees in the ALCS.

The Cleveland pitching staff had a 3.61 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average this season. The Guardians’ offense scored 708 runs with a .238 batting average and a .307 on-base percentage during the regular season. Jose Ramirez hit .279 with 39 home runs and 118 RBIs this year.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers were able to get a huge win in game two of this series by a score of 3-0 and now they return home with the series tied at one. Detroit was shut out in game one of this series and didn’t score until the ninth inning in game two, but they still managed to get the win. Skubal was fantastic once again in game two and Kerry Carpenter smashed a three-run homer in the ninth for the win. Prior to this series, the Tigers swept the Astros in two games in the Wild Card round by scores of 3-1 and 5-2.

The Detroit pitching staff had a 3.61 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average in the regular season. The Tigers’ offense scored 682 runs with a .234 batting average and a .300 on-base percentage this year. Riley Greene hit .262 with 24 home runs and 74 RBIs for the Tigers this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Alex Cobb, who is 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 16.1 innings pitched this season. Cobb last pitched in a MLB game on September 1st and I question how sharp he will be here. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is TBD. Detroit has gone with plenty of bullpen games this season, which is what we are likely to see here.

Why the Tigers will beat the Guardians

The Tigers have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The Guardians have lost five of their last seven games as road favorites against the Tigers following a loss.
The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against the Tigers at Comerica Park following a loss.
The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Guardians’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Eight of the Tigers’ last 10 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Tigers as home underdogs against the Guardians.
Matt Vierling has recorded an RBI in three of the Tigers’ last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last six Wednesday games.
Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Parker Meadows has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AL Central opponents.
Parker Meadows has recorded at least one total base in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

Brayan Rocchio has recorded a Double in each of the Guardians’ last three-day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games against the Tigers at Comerica Park.
Josh Naylor has recorded an RBI in four of the Guardians’ last five games as favorites against the Tigers.
Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances against the Tigers.
Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Alex Cobb has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 11 previous Wednesday appearances in day games.
Will Brennan has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his 15 previous road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Will Brennan has recorded at least one total base in 14 of his 15 previous road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Jose Ramirez ranks 5th in the league in Steals (41) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Detroit Tigers rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (416).
The Detroit Tigers rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.61).
The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (621).