Detroit Tigers (42-48) vs Cleveland Guardians (56-32)
Game Info: Monday, July 8, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Comerica Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +125 / Cleveland Guardians -145 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 8th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:
- The Guardians recent form and recent player performance
- The Tigers recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
- Recent betting trends in games played between Cleveland and Detroit
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cleveland and Detroit
Guardians Offense is Hot
The Cleveland Guardians are 56-32 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Cleveland is coming off of a series win against San Francisco, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Guardians won two out of three against the White Sox, lost three out of four against the Royals, and won two out of three against the Orioles. Cleveland is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are first in the AL Central.
The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 436 runs with a .246 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .271 with 23 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has scored at least five runs in five of their last eight games.
Tigers Looking for Four Straight
The Detroit Tigers are 42-48 this year and they have won three games in a row. Detroit is coming off of a series win against the Reds, where they won all three games by scores of 5-4, 5-3, and 5-1. Prior to that series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Twins, lost three out four against the Angels, and lost two out of three against the Phillies. Detroit is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 371 runs with a .230 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .261 with 17 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored at least five runs in six of their last eight games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA and a 2.25 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year. Williams allowed five earned runs and seven hits over four innings in his first start of the season against the White Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Keider Montero, who is 1-2 with a 6.60 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 15.0 innings pitched this season. Montero has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his three outings this year.
Why the Tigers will beat the Guardians
- The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Tigers have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Tigers following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Guardians.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last five games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last six games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three night games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Matt Vierling has recorded two or more RBIs in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one total base in each of his eight previous appearances at Comerica Park against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Carson Kelly has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Kerry Carpenter has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances with the Tigers as home underdogs.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in three of the Guardians’ last five games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one Double in three of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded two hits in each of the Guardians’ last three games as road favorites.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last four games.
- Steven Kwan has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians’ last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in 13 of his last 16 road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last five games.
- Steven Kwan ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.419) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Detroit Tigers rank T27th in the league for steals this season (40).
- The Detroit Tigers rank T26th in the league for doubles this season (127).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (339).
- The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (647).
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Detroit comes into this series after a rare series sweep against the Reds, and they have some positive momentum for the first time in a few weeks. The Tigers are 19-22 at home, while the Guardians are 26-21 on the road. Detroit’s offense has been a big problem for most of the season, but they are hot right now. Cleveland has had some road struggles and they are starting Gavin Williams, who did not look good in his first start off of the IL. Detroit is going with Montero, who pitched better in his last outing, but he has been shaky at best in limited work. I think we are going to see plenty of runs in this game and my Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers prediction is for this game to go over the total.