| MATCHUP | Cleveland Guardians | Boston Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 82-76 | 85-73 |
| Spread | +1.5 -193 | -1.5 159 |
| Moneyline | +119 | -143 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-102) | Under 7.5 (-118) |
| Where | Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts | |
| When | Thursday, September 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have a 85-73 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 39-38 home record and are coming off a 1-0 home win against the Guardians. They will face the Cubs next.
The Boston Red Sox have a .247 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average. Willson Contreras leads the team in RBI with 81, adding a team-high 27 home runs.
Ranger Suarez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 8-4 record, 3.27 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have an 82-76 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL Central. They have a 41-36 away record and are coming off a 1-0 road loss against the Red Sox. They will face the Royals next.
The Cleveland Guardians have a .238 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .376 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Chase DeLauter is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Brayan Rocchio leads the team in RBI with 70, while Angel Martinez adds a team-high 17 home runs.
Daniel Espino (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 0-0 record, 4.73 ERA and 1.43 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: September 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suarez Record this season: 8-4 ERA: 3.27
- Home Record: 3-2
- Last 5 against Guardians: 1-1
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have lost eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Thursday road games against AL East opponents.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Thursday night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 12 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Daniel Espino Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 4.72
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Red Sox: –
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last six games following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as favorites against AL opponents following a home win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Thursday night games as favorites against AL opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Guardians and Red Sox.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home night games.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against the Red Sox.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Guardians’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Guardians’ last 10 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine home games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Mickey Gasper has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against the Guardians.
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
- Willson Contreras ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Austin Hedges has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T6th in the league in Steals (36) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (150).
- The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (281).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.376).
- The Guardians rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1498).
Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Guardians but have lost two of their last three meetings in Boston.
In this Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -135 home favorites. I like the Red Sox to keep rolling in this one with Ranger Suarez on the mound, who has been in excellent form, with just two earned runs across his last three starts. Daniel Espino has been bad for the Guardians in limited usage and they have also been weaker against left-handed pitching this season. On top of that, the Red Sox have the best bullpen ERA in baseball this season, so take them on the moneyline at home in this one.