Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

54 seconds ago

Jul 29, 2026; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Reds pitcher Brady Singer throws against the Cleveland Guardians in the first inning at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals
Team Records	56-60	58-61
Spread	-1.5 142	+1.5 -172
Moneyline	-108	+101
Total	Over 9.5 (-102)	Under 9.5 (-119)
Where	Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia
When	Sunday, August 9, 2026
Time	12:15 PM EDT
TV	Peacock

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 9th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 58-61 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 25-34 home record and are coming off an 8-2 home win against the Reds. They will face the Cubs and the Mets next.

The Washington Nationals have a .250 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .439 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.74 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 89, while James Wood adds a team-high 30 home runs.

Brad Lord (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 5-2 record, 3.81 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 56-60 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 27-29 away record and are coming off a 2-8 road loss against the Nationals. They will face the White Sox and the Marlins next.

The Cincinnati Reds have a .229 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .274 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 87, adding a team-high 25 home runs.

Brady Singer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 5-10 record, 4.67 ERA and 1.43 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: August 9, 2026

Probable Starting Pitcher: Brad Lord Record this season: 5-2 ERA: 3.81
Home Record: 2-2
Last 5 against Reds: 1-0

Why the Washington Nationals will win

The home team has won each of the Reds’ last six games.
The Reds have lost each of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Reds.
The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites.
The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games.

Probable Starting Pitcher: Brady Singer Record this season: 5-10 ERA: 4.67
Road Record: 2-5
Last 5 against Nationals: 0-2

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Reds have won seven of their last eight games following a loss.
The Nationals have lost each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a loss.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Reds’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Seven of the Nationals’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last seven day games between the Reds and Nationals.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Reds’ last six games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

Daylen Lile has hit at least one home run in three of the Nationals’ last five games against the Reds.
Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (40) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Sal Stewart has hit a home run in five of the Reds’ last six day games.
Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his last six Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances.
Noelvi Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (636).
The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (170).
The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (886).
The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.229).

Reds vs Nationals Prediction

The Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Reds and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Washington.

In this Reds vs Nationals Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. I like the over in this game, as Singer has been bad for the Reds, having given up 3+ runs in each of his last three starts and sitting on an atrocious 5.89 road ERA. The Nats are going for a bullpen game and they have the fourth-worst bullpen ERA in baseball, while both teams have been efficient offensively lately, scoring 11.2 runs per game combined against right-handed pitching in their last 5 games. Take the over 9.5 runs.