| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | Toronto Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 75-86 | 78-83 |
| Spread | +1.5 -143 | -1.5 119 |
| Moneyline | +147 | -179 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-121) | Under 8.5 (100) |
| Where | Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario | |
| When | Sunday, September 27, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:07 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Toronto Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays have a 78-83 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 41-39 home record and are coming off a 1-5 home loss against the Reds.
The Toronto Blue Jays have a .248 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .381 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .261 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 92, adding a team-high 33 home runs.
Max Scherzer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 3-9 record, 6.14 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 75-86 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 37-43 away record and are coming off a 5-1 road win against the Blue Jays.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .229 batting average this season, .305 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.83 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 111, adding a team-high 32 home runs.
Brandon Williamson (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 5-4 record, 4.89 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: September 27, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Scherzer Record this season: 3-9 ERA: 6.14
- Home Record: 3-7
- Last 5 against Reds: 3-1
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last six games following a win.
- The Blue Jays have won 10 of their last 11 day games following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against AL opponents following a win.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Rogers Centre.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Williamson Record this season: 5-4 ERA: 4.89
- Road Record: 4-2
- Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-1
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Reds have won seven of their last eight day games against AL opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last seven games.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the last nine games between the Reds and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Reds’ last seven games as underdogs against the Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of Max Scherzer’s last 10 home appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Brandon Williamson’s last five road appearances as a starter.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- George Springer has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against the Reds.
- Max Scherzer has recorded six or more strikeouts in 22 of his last 23 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Max Scherzer has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances against the Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two day games.
- Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Blue Jays.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.517) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (643).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (150).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (1224).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.229).
Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Blue Jays are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Reds but have lost two of their last three meetings in Toronto.
In this Reds vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -175 home favorites. The Jay should not be so big favorites, especially the form they are in and having Max Scherzer on the mound, who has been bad this season and has a 3-7 record and 6.24 ERA at home. The Jays have been struggling against lefties lately Brandon Williamson has been better on the road for the Reds. Take a stab with the Reds and the plus money in this one.