Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB Picks 9/12/24

The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Thursday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Reds vs Cardinals pick. We will examine:

The Cincinnati Reds’ recent form and player performance

The St. Louis Cardinals’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals

Recent betting trends in games played between the Reds and Cardinals

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Reds vs Cardinals game

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Reds played the New York Mets in their last series. Cincinnati lost the first pair in that set before a 3-1 win on Sunday (and a 1-0 win in a one-off game versus the Braves on Monday). The Reds took a win 3-0 in their first outing versus St. Louis. On Wednesday, Cincinnati took a tough loss 2-1. Brandon Williamson finished with 5.0 innings and one earned run in the start.

Jakob Junis will start for the Reds on Thursday. Junis is 4-0 with a 2.82 ERA and 39 Ks so far.

. The Reds will meet the Twins, Braves, Pirates, and Guardians after this series.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

Over on the Cardinals’ side, they took on the Seattle Mariners in their weekend set. St. Louis lost Friday and Sunday to drop the series. In Wednesday’s matchup, the Cards out-hit Cincinnati 6-5 in the win. Starter Lance Lynn had 5.0 innings with one earned.

Sonny Gray will start for St. Louis on Thursday. Gray is 12-9 with a 3.84 ERA in 26 starts this year. Gray has a career record of 110-94 with a 3.50 ERA in 305 games (296 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Cardinals’ last four home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last six home games against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five road games.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in four of the Cardinals’ last five day games.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Cardinals’ last six games against NL opponents at Busch Stadium.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Cardinals’ last five home games against NL opponents.
• Alec Burleson has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals’ last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Cardinals’ last nine day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
• Willson Contreras has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in three of his last seven appearances with the Reds as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in four of the Reds’ last five games at Busch Stadium against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last three day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Ty France has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Reds’ last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds’ last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
• Ty France has scored a run in three of the Reds’ last four day games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The St. Louis Cardinals rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (594).
• The St. Louis Cardinals rank T24th in the league for home runs this season (148).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank 26th in the league for batting average this season (.232).
• The Cincinnati Reds rank 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1339).

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

I might try St. Louis here. Probably not touching it, though. Gray had a rough outing in a loss to Minnesota back on August 24 with 6.0 innings and five earned runs. Since then, however, Gray is 1-0 with just two earned in 13.0 innings over a pair of starts.

On Wednesday the Cardinals had another rough offensive night, but it was enough to support a great pitching outing. St. Louis’ bats are going to need a boost Thursday in the finale, but I think they’ve got a good shot at a W.