St. Louis Cardinals (72-71) vs Cincinnati Reds (69-75)
Game Info: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 7:45 pm (Busch Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -132 / Cincinnati Reds +111 — Over/Under:
The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Wednesday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Reds vs Cardinals pick. We will examine:
The Cincinnati Reds’ recent form and player performance
The St. Louis Cardinals’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals
Recent betting trends in games played between the Reds and Cardinals
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Reds vs Cardinals game
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
Over the weekend the Reds played the New York Mets. Cincinnati lost the first two games in that set but won 3-1 Sunday then took a 1-0 victory over the Braves in a one-off Monday game. In Tuesday’s opener versus the Cards, the Reds posted all their runs in the fifth inning during a 3-0 victory. Rhett Lowder managed 5.0 clean frames, five hits, and three Ks in the start.
Brandon Williamson will start for the Reds on Wednesday. Williamson has a 2.25 ERA and six Ks this year without a decision.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
Over on the Cardinals’ side, their weekend series was against the Seattle Mariners. St. Louis could only win 2-0 on Saturday. In Tuesday’s matchup, the Cardinals had 5.0 innings and three earned from starter Andre Pallante.
It’ll be Lance Lynn in the starter role Wednesday. So far Lynn is 6-4 with a 4.06 ERA in 21 starts this year. Lynn is 142-99 with a 3.75 ERA in 362 career games (338 starts).
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Reds have lost seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have won five of their last six night games against the Reds at Busch Stadium following a home loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have won five of their last six games against the Cardinals.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games at Busch Stadium against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against the Cardinals following a win.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Cardinals.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last four games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cardinals’ last three home games against National League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Reds and Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’m leaning toward the Cardinals. Lynn has been doing pretty well recently. Over his last three starts combined Lynn is 2-0 with three earned runs in 16.0 innings on 12 hits and six walks combined. He should be good for a quality outing here if all goes well.
On Tuesday the Cardinals had some pretty solid offensive performances mixed in with their eight-team hits but they couldn’t make anything happen on the scoreboard. St. Louis needs to perform better at the plate on Wednesday.