Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 7/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 25, 2026; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Hunter Greene (21) throws against the St. Louis Cardinals during the third inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
Team Records
48-55
53-51
Spread
+1.5 -186
-1.5 153
Moneyline
+113
-136
Total
Over 8.5 (-120)
Under 8.5 (-101)
Where
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
When
Sunday, July 26, 2026
Time
02:15 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Sunday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Cincinnati Reds will send out Andrew Abbott for the start here and Abbott is 5-6 with a 3.89 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Kyle Leahy will start for the Cardinals in this one and is 7-4 with a 3.59 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to finish the series on a high note as they try to keep themselves afloat in the NL Wild Card race. After this series, the Reds will head home for a series against the Cleveland Guardians.
Reds Looking To Stay Hot
Elly De La Cruz has 90 hits with 15 doubles, 4 triples, 17 home runs and 46 RBIs while Sal Stewart has 96 hits with 23 doubles, 21 home runs and 74 RBIs. Spencer Steer has 81 hits with 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 40 RBIs and Matt McLain has 51 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 25 RBIs. JJ Bleday’s added 62 hits with 11 doubles, 17 home runs and 44 RBIs as well on the year.
St. Louis Cardinals Recap
The St. Louis Cardinals come into this game looking to get back on track heading into the final two months of the season to potentially make a run at a playoff spot and stay above .500. After this series, the Cardinals will take on the Chicago Cubs in a massive division series at home.
Cardinals Looking To Right The Ship Ahead Of Rivalry Series
Jordan Walker leads the Cardinals with 112 hits, 22 doubles, 22 home runs and 77 RBIs while Alec Burleson has 110 hits with 25 doubles, 15 home runs and 69 RBIs. JJ Wetherholt has 99 hits with 15 home runs and 40 RBIs while Ivan Herrera has 90 hits with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 41 RBIs. Nolan Gorman has 39 hits with 7 home runs and 26 RBIs this season. Masyn Winn’s added 80 hits with 12 doubles and 42 RBIs and Nathan Church has 59 hits with 8 home runs and 29 RBIs this season.
Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: July 26, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Leahy Record this season: 7-4 ERA: 3.59
Home Record: 3-3
Last 5 against Reds: 0-0
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
The Reds have lost eight of their last nine day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The home team has won five of the last six games between the Reds and Cardinals.
The Cardinals have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
The Cardinals have won the first inning in four of their last five home games.
The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott Record this season: 5-6 ERA: 3.89
Road Record: 3-3
Last 5 against Cardinals: 2-2
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
The Cardinals have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
The underdogs have won each of the Cardinals’ last four games.
The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Cardinals’ last four games.
The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Reds’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Cardinals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Reds’ last nine road games against National League opponents.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
JJ Wetherholt has hit at least one home run in each of the Cardinals’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Kyle Leahy has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
Pedro Pages has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
Jordan Walker ranks T8th in the league in Hits (114) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
Andrew Abbott has recorded six strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 13 games against NL Central opponents.
Andrew Abbott has recorded a win in three of his four previous road appearances against the Cardinals.
Elly De La Cruz is one of only seven players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Cardinals rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
The Cardinals rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (791).
The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (791).
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I think this is a situation where you have two solid starting options in Abbott, who has been good on the road like a lot of Reds starters that have half of their starts come at Great American. On the flipside, Leahy has been in arguably his best stretch of starts all season in July, and I think this ends up being a lower-scoring matchup to finish the series. Give me the under.
