| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | Seattle Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 45-53 | 50-50 |
| Where | T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington | |
| When | Monday, July 20, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Mariners Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, July 20th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 50-50 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL West. They have a 29-21 home record and are coming off a 6-3 home win against the Giants. They will face the Rangers and the Dodgers next.
The Seattle Mariners have a .227 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .375 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the team’s best hitter with a .281 batting average. Cole Young leads the team in RBI with 48, while Luke Raley adds a team-high 15 home runs.
George Kirby (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Seattle Mariners, and he has a 7-8 record, 3.76 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 45-53 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 23-25 away record and are coming off a 9-6 road win against the Rockies. They will face the Cardinals and the Guardians next.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .231 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 70, adding a team-high 20 home runs.
Andrew Abbott (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds, and he has a 5-5 record, 4.11 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: July 20, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: George Kirby Record this season: 7-8 ERA: 3.76
- Home Record: 4-4
- Last 5 against Reds: 1-0
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last six games following a win.
- The Mariners have won seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Reds.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against the Reds.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Reds.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott Record this season: 5-5 ERA: 4.11
- Road Record: 3-2
- Last 5 against Mariners: 0-1
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last three games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have lost four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in four of the Reds’ last five games.
- The Reds have won the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last eight night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Mariners’ last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last nine night games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last seven road games.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in three of the Mariners’ last four games against the Reds.
- George Kirby has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- George Kirby has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Abbott has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
- Andrew Abbott has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
- JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games.
- Jose Trevino has hit at least one home run in each of his last two road appearances.
- Elly De La Cruz is one of only four players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (122).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (122).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (919).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (919).
Reds vs Mariners Prediction
The Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Reds, having won their last three meetings in Seattle.
In this Reds vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -145 home favorites. I like the Mariners at home in this one, as Kirby has been the better option than Abbott on the mound and in better form lately. Abbott has given up 3+ runs in three of his last four starts, while Kirby has given up two or less in each of his last three starts. On top of that, the Mariners have a superior bullpen to relief him, they have been very good at home and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Take the Mariners in this one.