Pittsburgh Pirates (35-37) vs Cincinnati Reds (34-38)
Game Info: Wednesday, June 19, 2024 at 12:35 pm (PNC Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates -125 / Cincinnati Reds +115 — Over/Under: 8
The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Wednesday in MLB action from PNC Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
• The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance
• The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds
• Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates
• Recent betting trends in games played between the Reds and Pirates
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Reds vs Pirates game
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Reds spent their weekend playing the Milwaukee Brewers. Cincinnati won the first installment of that set before losses in the Saturday and Sunday games. After another loss to the Pirates 4-1 on Monday, in game two the Reds eked out a 2-1 win on nine team hits. Starting pitcher Nick Lodolo finished with 7.0 innings, one earned, four hits and no walks.
In the starter role for the Reds on Wednesday it’ll be Hunter Greene. This year over 14 starts Greene is 5-2 with a 3.61 ERA and 89 Ks in 82.1 innings. Greene is 14-22 with a 4.36 ERA in 60 career starts.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
Over on the Pirates’ side, they took on the Colorado Rockies in their last series. Pittsburgh lost big 16-4 in the middle game but otherwise won 5-2 Friday and 8-2 on Sunday for a set victory. On Tuesday the Pirates had just four hits and couldn’t score outside of a Ke’Bryan Hayes solo homer in the seventh.
It’ll be Mitch Keller in the starting pitcher role for the Pirates on Wednesday. So far this year Keller is 8-4 with a 3.36 ERA and 78 Ks in 85.2 innings over 14 starts. Keller is 33-42 with a 4.52 ERA in 116 career games (114 starts).
Reds vs Pirates Pick Injury Notes
Reds CF TJ Friedl (hamstring) was out of the lineup for Tuesday’s game.
Pirates SP Quinn Priester (lat) completed a bullpen session Tuesday.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Reds’ last 10 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Pirates’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four day games against National League opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Mitch Keller has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances at PNC Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 16 games.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last 16 games.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Andrew McCutchen has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Pirates as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Mitch Keller has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Double in four of the Pirates’ last five home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in day games.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates’ last four games as home favorites against NL opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Hunter Greene has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds’ last 10 road games.
- TJ Friedl has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jonathan India has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances at PNC Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Hunter Greene has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his four previous appearances against the Pirates.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one Double in three of the Reds’ last four games as road underdogs against the Pirates.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Single in each of the Reds’ last four games.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Reds’ last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I’ll probably just go Pirates here. Keller needs a bit of a bounce-back effort on the mound. In his last start he put up four earned in 6.0 innings during a loss to the Cardinals. Keller had just one earned in 12.0 innings over two starts prior to that however, going 2-0 in that time. As for Greene, he’s given up 11 earned runs over his last 17.2 innings, going 2-0 as well.
On Tuesday the Pirates had a pretty limp offensive effort. Andrew McCutchen, Hayes and Bryan Reynolds (two hits) were the only ones to reach base. Pittsburgh’s other hitters certainly need to contribute Wednesday, but I think they’ll improve.