Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 8/9/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Chris Ruffolo

1 month ago

Aug 1, 2025; Denver, Colorado, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates center fielder Oneil Cruz (15) runs off a grand slam in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Cincinnati (60-57) vs Pittsburgh (51-66)

August 9, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh +105 — Over/Under: +8.5

The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds will start Nick Martinez here and Martinez is 9-9 with a 4.66 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. In his career, Martinez is 1-1 with a 1.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts against the Pirates. The Pittsburgh Pirates did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to rebound from their 3-2 loss at the hands of the Pirates in Friday’s matchup to drop to 60-57 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head home for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Reds Lose Three In A Row

Elly De La Cruz has 123 hits with 19 home runs, 73 RBIs, 24 doubles and 30 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 111 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 37 RBIs with 10 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 86 hits with 18 doubles and 42 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 13 home runs and 50 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 11 homers, 38 RBIs and 16 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 19 doubles as well this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The Reds have won seven of their last eight Saturday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Pirates have lost three of their last four night games against the Reds following a win.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against the Reds following a win.
The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last five Saturday night games against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Jake Fraley has hit a home run in three of his 10 previous road appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
Gavin Lux has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite.
Elly De La Cruz ranks T6th in the league in Steals (30) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Reds from Friday to sit at 51-66 this year. After this series, the Pirates will take to the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Pirates Looking To Heat Up

Bryan Reynolds has 100 hits with 24 doubles, 10 home runs and 53 RBIs while also posting 124 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 18 home runs and 48 RBIs with 34 stolen bases while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 90 hits with 14 doubles and 14 stolen bases. Cruz also has a team-high 138 strikeouts as well this season. Tommy Pham has 12 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 90 hits with 16 doubles as well this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

- The Pirates have won each of their last 14 home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Reds have lost each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line each of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents following a road loss.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in five of his last 17 appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against the Reds.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
Oneil Cruz ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (34) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Reds’ last six games as favorites against the Pirates have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Eight of the Pirates’ last nine games as underdogs against the Reds have gone UNDER the total runs line.