Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 6/27/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

Nikos Lagouretos

3 hours ago

Jun 3, 2026; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Chase Burns (26) pitches against the Kansas City Royals in the first inning at Great American Ball Park. Mandatory Credit: Katie Stratman-Imagn Images

MATCHUP	Cincinnati Reds	Pittsburgh Pirates
Team Records	38-42	41-41
Spread	-1.5 141	+1.5 -171
Moneyline	-118	-102
Total	Over 8 (-105)	Under 8 (-114)
Where	PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
When	Saturday, June 27, 2026
Time	04:05 PM EDT
TV	ESPN Unlmtd

In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, June 27th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 41-41 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 22-21 home record and are coming off a 4-6 home defeat against the Reds. They will face the Phillies and the Nationals next.

The Pirates have a .257 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .413 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in RBI with 52, while Brandon Lowe adds a team-high 19 home runs.

Jared Jones (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 1-1 record, 5.75 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 38-42 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 19-20 road record and are coming off a 6-4 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Brewers and the Orioles next.

The Reds have a .226 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 55, adding a team-high 14 home runs.

Chase Burns (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 9-1 record, 2.00 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: June 27, 2026

Probable Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 5.75
Home Record: 0-0
Last 5 against Reds: 0-1

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

The Reds have lost each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
The Pirates have won 12 of their last 13 games as home underdogs against the Reds following a home loss.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
The Pirates have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as home underdogs against the Reds following a home loss.
The Pirates have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Reds.
The Pirates have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home day games.
The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

Probable Starting Pitcher: Chase Burns Record this season: 9-1 ERA: 2.00
Road Record: 4-0
Last 5 against Pirates: 1-0

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

The road team has won each of the Reds’ last six games.
The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 12 home games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents.
The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites.
The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Ten of the Pirates’ last 11 games as underdogs against the Reds have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Reds’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last nine games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Pirates’ last 12 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 16 games.
Henry Davis has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Pirates as home underdogs.
Bryan Reynolds ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.402) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games.
Chase Burns has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances.
Blake Dunn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
Chase Burns has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
Chase Burns ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (730).
The Pirates rank T3rd in the league for runs scored this season (413).
The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (607).
The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.226).

Reds vs Pirates Prediction

The Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Reds and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Pittsburgh.

In this Reds vs Pirates Prediction, the Reds are coming as -120 road favorites. If the Pirates cannot win with Skenes on the mound, I certainly don’t trust them to win with Jared Jones and his 5.75 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. He will go up against a red-hot Chase Burns who has been elite this season and has a 4-0 record on the road and a 2.01 ERA. Take the Reds to win this one on the road.