Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction MLB Picks 7/2/24

In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 2nd at Yankee Stadium in New York. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The Reds recent form and recent player performance 
• The Yankees recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York
• Recent betting trends in games played between Cincinnati and New York
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cincinnati and New York

Reds Continue to Struggle 

The Cincinnati Reds are 39-45 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series split against St. Louis, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Pirates, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost two out of three against the Brewers. Cincinnati is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 358 runs with a .229 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .252 with 14 home runs and 37 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has scored one run or fewer in three of their last five games. 

Yankees are Tied in the AL East 

The New York Yankees are 54-32 this year and they have lost five of their last seven games. New York is coming off of a series win against the Blue Jays, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Yankees lost both games against the Mets, lost two out of three against the Braves, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. New York is just 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are tied with Baltimore for first in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .227 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 437 runs with a .251 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .303 with 20 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has allowed at least nine runs in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Graham Ashcraft, who is 4-4 with a 5.45 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 67.2 innings pitched this year. Ashcraft has allowed at least three earned runs in five straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is 9-3 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 85.2 innings pitched this season. Gil has allowed 12 earned runs in his last two starts (5.2 IP) against the Orioles and Mets. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Reds

• The Reds have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have won nine of their last 10 home games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Yankees following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Reds’ last nine night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four night games against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Reds.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jonathan India has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Fraley has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Graham Ashcraft has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 12 games.
• TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this series trying to string some wins together, as they have struggled over the last two weeks. Even with those struggles, the Yankees are tied for first in the AL East and they are 24-14 at home. Cincinnati is just 19-22 on the road and they have also not played well in recent weeks. The Reds are starting Ashcraft, who has a very elevated WHIP and will have to face one of the best lineups in baseball. New York is going with Gil, who has struggled recently, but has been great for the most part this season. The Yankees should have the advantage in this game and my Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees prediction is for the Yankees to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Pick: Yankees -1.5