| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 27-25 | 22-31 |
| Spread | +1.5 -185 | -1.5 152 |
| Moneyline | +114 | -137 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-103) | Under 7.5 (-117) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Monday, May 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
The Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets meet Monday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Pick.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 27-25 on the year and play the Royals and Braves next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 227 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and have a .393 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 4.78 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 60 hits and 35 RBI, while Sal Stewart and Spencer Steer have combined for 98 hits and 52 RBI.
Nick Lodolo gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. Lodolo is 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 22-31 on the year and play the Marlins and Mariners next. The New York Mets are batting .226 on the season, have a .293 OBP, and have a .349 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 47 hits and 27 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 84 hits and 35 RBI.
Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-3 with a 3.57 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s first career game against the Cincinnati Reds.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Reds have lost 10 of their last 12 road games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have won five of their last six home games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 games against the Mets following a home win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last three home games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have won each of their last three games as underdogs.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Mets.
Total Runs Facts
- Eleven of the Mets’ last 12 day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Reds’ last five games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mets’ last nine day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Reds’ last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Bo Bichette has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 17 games as road underdogs.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T5th in the league in Hits (60) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (68).
- The Mets rank 27th in the league for runs scored this season (206).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (72).
- The Reds rank T5th in the league for home runs this season (66).
Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets should be favored as theyre the better team, at home, and McLean has been sharper than Lodolo. I don’t want to back these Reds or Lodolo, who has a 7.20 ERA and 1.53 WHIP through 15 innings. However, the Mets keep taking one step forward and four steps back. The Mets were just swept by the Marlins and scored a combined two runs in three games. The Mets just allowed a walk-off grand slam. The Reds enter this series with rested arms after not playing yesterdy. I’ll take a shot with the plus money even if its more of a fade of the Mets than anything else.