Minnesota Twins (78-68) vs Cincinnati Reds (71-77)
Game Info: Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Target Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -162 / Cincinnati Reds +136 — Over/Under:
The Cincinnati Reds and the Minnesota Twins meet Saturday in MLB action from Target Field. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Reds vs Twins pick. We will examine:
The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance
The Minnesota Twins recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins
Recent betting trends in games played between the Reds and Twins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Reds vs Twins game
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
This week the Reds played the St. Louis Cardinals. Cincinnati won 3-0 Tuesday then dropped the next pair. On Friday in the opener versus the Twins, the Reds powered out an 8-4 win with six runs in the seventh inning.
Nick Martinez will start for the Reds on Saturday. Martinez is 8-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 98 Ks.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
Over on the Twins’ side, they played the Los Angeles Angels in their last set. Minnesota lost Monday then came back with wins 10-5 and 6-4 to take the series. On Friday the Twins scored three runs in the bottom of the seventh but didn’t get close to making a comeback.
It’ll be Simeon Woods Richardson in the start for the Twins on Saturday. This year Richardson is 5-4 with a 3.96 ERA in 25 starts. Over 27 games (26 starts) in his career Richardson is 5-5 with a 4.14 ERA.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won five of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Reds have lost four of their last five night games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Reds following a loss.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Reds’ last four games at Target Field.
- The Twins have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last four road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last three games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last seven road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Reds and Twins.
Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
I might take a stab on the Reds here. At least some of that is due to Richardson’s recent struggles. He’s given up nine earned runs combined over his last three starts in 12.2 innings total. Richardson hasn’t gotten past 4.2 innings in any of those outings, either.
On Friday the Reds had one big inning in the seventh and rode the wave to the win. Overall the pitching was pretty solid behind Julian Aguiar (6.1 innings; three earned) and there were a couple of big hitting performances. I think the Reds have a decent shot at keeping it going.