| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 39-46 | 53-31 |
| Spread | +1.5 -143 | -1.5 119 |
| Moneyline | +162 | -198 |
| Total | Over 6.5 (-122) | Under 6.5 (102) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Thursday, July 2, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 53‑31 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 29‑17 home record and are coming off a 4‑2 home win against the Reds. They will face the Diamondbacks and the Pirates next.
The Brewers have a .255 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.37 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .296 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 51, adding a team‑high 15 home runs.
Jacob Misiorowski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 9‑3 record, 1.45 ERA and 0.77 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 39‑46 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 20‑24 road record and are coming off a 2‑4 road defeat against the Brewers. They will face the Orioles and the Phillies next.
The Reds have a .228 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.62 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .274 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 59, adding a team‑high 16 home runs.
Chase Burns (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 9‑1 record, 2.36 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: July 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski Record this season: 9-3 ERA: 1.45
- Home Record: 5-0
- Last 5 against Reds: 0-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last 11 games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have won each of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last five games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Thursday road games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chase Burns Record this season: 9-1 ERA: 2.36
- Road Record: 4-0
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-0
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last three day games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four day games against the Reds following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Reds’ last six games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last five day games between the Reds and Brewers.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Reds’ last seven road games against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit at least one home run in five of the Brewers’ last 10 home games against NL opponents.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded 10+ strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (146) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Chase Burns has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Matt Mclain has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last two day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Chase Burns ranks T4th in the league for Wins (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (80).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (606).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (648).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers have won their last seven meetings against the Reds and their last four meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Reds vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -190 home favorites. The Brewers have been dominating this series, having won all three games with a combined 16-7 score and are putting Jacob Misiorowski on the mound today who has the best ERA in baseball. Burns has been very good but he’s coming off his worst start of the season and the Reds are struggling with a 2-7 record in their last 9 games. The Brewers have the third-best offense in baseball and are better against righties and they have the 7th-best bullpen, so I expect them to win this one comfortably and cover the runline.