| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 39-44 | 51-31 |
| Spread | +1.5 -139 | -1.5 115 |
| Moneyline | +148 | -180 |
| Total | Over 9 (100) | Under 9 (-120) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Tuesday, June 30, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 51‑31 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 27‑17 home record and are coming off a 5‑3 home win against the Reds. They will face the Diamondbacks and the Pirates next.
The Brewers have a .253 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .298 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 50. Jake Bauers adds a team‑high 14 home runs.
Brandon Sproat (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 2‑4 record, 5.43 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 39‑44 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 20‑22 road record and are coming off a 3‑5 road defeat against the Brewers. They will face the Orioles and the Phillies next.
The Reds have a .228 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 57, adding a team‑high 15 home runs.
Rhett Lowder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 3‑5 record, 4.81 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: June 30, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat Record this season: 2-4 ERA: 5.43
- Home Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Reds: 1-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in 11 of their last 12 Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last 12 Tuesday games as home favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Rhett Lowder Record this season: 3-5 ERA: 4.81
- Road Record: 2-4
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-2
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The road team has won seven of the Reds’ last nine games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games at American Family Field.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Reds’ last seven road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Reds and Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the last nine games between the Reds and Brewers.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Reds’ last 10 games at American Family Field.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Sproat has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last three Tuesday appearances with his team as a favorite.
- William Contreras ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.298) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two road games against the Brewers.
- Rhett Lowder has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (345).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (634).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers have won their last five meetings against the Reds and their last two meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Reds vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -175 home favorites. I am with the Brewers in this one. I don’t trust either pitcher, but Sproat’s two of his last three starts has been quality ones, while Lowder has given up 7 runs in his last two starts for the Reds and has a 6.00 road ERA. On top of that, the Brewers have a superior bullpen and the 4th-best offense in baseball. Take the Brewers in this one.