| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 8-3 | 6-5 |
| Spread | +1.5 -207 | -1.5 169 |
| Moneyline | +109 | -131 |
| Total | Over 8 (-108) | Under 8 (-112) |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Wednesday, April 8, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, April 8th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 6-5 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL East. They have a 5-3 home record and are coming off a 3-6 home loss against the Reds. Their previous three games were a 0-2 home loss against the Reds, a 7-6 road win and a 7-9 road loss against the Yankees.
The Marlins have a .253 batting average this season, .333 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Xavier Edwards is the team’s best hitter with a .390 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 12, also adding a team-high 3 home runs.
Eury Perez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 0-1 record, 5.73 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 8-3 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 5-0 away record and are coming off a 6-3 road win against the Marlins. Their previous three games were a 2-0 road win against the Marlins, a 2-1 and a 2-0 road win against the Rangers.
The Reds have a .204 batting average this season, .288 OBP and .322 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 2.82 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Sal Stewart is the team’s best hitter with a .351 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI with 7, and Elly De La Cruz adds a team-high 3 home runs.
Brady Singer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 0-0 record, 5.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: April 8, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Eury Perez Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 5.73
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Reds: 1-1
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won four of their last five home games following a loss.
- The Reds have lost nine of their last 12 road games following an extra innings win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs following an extra innings win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last six Wednesday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brady Singer Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 5.00
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Marlins: 1-1
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last seven games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 25 of their last 27 games as home favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Reds’ last 10 games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven home games.
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
- Jakob Marsee ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (5) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
- Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- JJ Bleday has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- JJ Bleday has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
- Sal Stewart ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.468) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (4).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (15).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (34).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (32).
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
The Reds have won their last four meetings against the Marlins, having won their last three visits in Miami.
In this Reds vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -135 home favorites. The Reds have been red-hot with five consecutive wins and have just four earned runs in their last four games. They have the 5th-best bullpen in baseball and are facing Eury Perez who will be on the mound for the Marlins and he has not been looking good in his two starts this season, having 7 earned runs. I expect the Reds to keep rolling against a struggling pitcher and I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the Reds on the moneyline for plus money.