Atlanta Braves (77-65) vs Cincinnati Reds (68-75)
Game Info: Monday, September 9, 2024 at 6:40 pm (Truist Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -145 / Cincinnati Reds +122 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Cincinnati Reds and the Atlanta Braves meet Monday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves prediction. This will be a one-off game before each team moves on to a different series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Reds vs Braves pick. We will examine:
The Cincinnati Reds’ recent form and player performance
The Atlanta Braves’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Atlanta Braves
Recent betting trends in games played between the Reds and Braves
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Reds vs Braves game
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
This past weekend the Reds took on the New York Mets. After losses 6-4 and 4-0 in the first two games, on Sunday Cincinnati took a 3-1 win. Starter Julian Aguiar lasted 4.2 innings with two hits, two walks, and two Ks.
It’ll be Nick Martinez in the start for the Reds on Monday. Martinez is 7-6 with a 3.67 ERA and 93 Ks.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
Over on the Braves’ side, they took on the Toronto Blue Jays in their last set. Atlanta won Friday 3-1 then fell in game two 9-5. In the Sunday rubber match the Braves eked out a walk-off 4-3 win in 11 innings. Chris Sale went 6.0 innings with two hits, one walk, seven Ks, and no earned.
The starter for Monday will be Atlanta’s Charlie Morton. So far Morton is 8-7 with a 4.24 ERA in 26 starts. Over his career, Morton is 138-120 with a 4.01 ERA in 379 games (378 starts). The Braves will meet the Nats and Dodgers after this series.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Reds’ last 13 night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eleven of the Braves’ last 12 home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Reds and Braves.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three night games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two games against NL Central opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Charlie Morton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Single in each of his last 11 appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Jake Fraley has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last five games against the Braves.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one total base in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- TJ Friedl has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’ll stick with the Braves. Morton hasn’t been too bad over his last three starts. In that time he’s 1-0 with seven earned runs in 16.1 total innings. Morton has given up 18 hits and nine walks in that time and has gone at least 5.0 innings in each outing.
On Sunday Atlanta got the winning run on an infield grounder by Sean Murphy after a lengthy and tense 11-inning battle. The Braves’ bullpen came through with 5.0 innings, six hits, two walks, and no earned runs, though there were some close calls along the way. I like Atlanta to keep it going in Monday’s matchup.