| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 62-68 | 68-62 |
| Spread | +1.5 -188 | -1.5 154 |
| Moneyline | +119 | -127 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
| Where | Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona | |
| When | Sunday, August 23, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | Peacock | |
In this article, we will formulate a Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, August 23rd in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 68-62 record this season and sit in 3rd place in the NL West. They have a 37-28 home record and are coming off a 5-11 home loss against the Reds. They will face the Cubs and the Giants next.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a .245 batting average this season, .318 OBP, and .400 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Gabriel Moreno is the Diamondbacks’ best hitter with a .307 batting average. Ketel Marte leads the team in RBI with 67, while Nolan Arenado adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Mitch Bratt (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, holding a 1-2 record, 4.17 ERA, and 1.47 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 62-68 record this season and sit in 5th place in the NL Central. They have a 30-32 road record and are coming off an 11-5 road win against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Giants and the Cubs next.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .227 batting average this season, .306 OBP, and .393 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA and 1.41 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the Reds’ best hitter with a .263 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 97 while adding a team-high 27 home runs.
Andrew Abbott (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, holding a 6-8 record, 4.07 ERA, and 1.40 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: August 23, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Mitch Bratt Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 4.17
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Reds: –
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won eight of their last nine games following a home loss.
- The Reds have lost each of their last five games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in five of their last six home games.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight day games against the Reds at Chase Field.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott Record this season: 6-8 ERA: 4.07
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-1
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games at Chase Field.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 14 of the last 16 games between the Reds and Diamondbacks.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
- The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Reds’ last 10 road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last seven games against NL West opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six home games.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Mitch Bratt has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his three previous home appearances.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 15 games.
- Gabriel Moreno ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.307) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in nine of his last 12 appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Andrew Abbott has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances against NL West opponents.
- Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 13 road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (33).
- The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (944).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (539).
Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 games and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Arizona.
In this Reds vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -125 home favorites. I like the Dbacks in a bounce-back spot at home today, as they are going up against the leftie Andrew Abbott and his 4.07 ERA, and 1.40 WHIP, while they have been excellent against southpaws in their last 5 games, averaging 7.3 runs per game, while the Reds just 3.6 against lefties in the same span. The Dbacks also have a better bullpen and Mitch Bratt has been very good at home with a 2.04 ERA. Take the Dbacks in this one.