Chicago White Sox vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5/2/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
May 1, 2026; San Diego, California, USA; Chicago White Sox first baseman Munetaka Murakami (5) rounds the bases after hitting a three-run home run during the second inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Denis Poroy-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
Team Records
15-17
19-12
Spread
+1.5 -136
-1.5 113
Moneyline
+153
-186
Total
Over 8 (-106)
Under 8 (-114)
Where
Petco Park, San Diego, California
When
Saturday, May 2, 2026
Time
08:40 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Chicago White Sox and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Chicago White Sox will send out Sean Burke for the start here and Burke is 1-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. In his career, Burke is 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Padres. The San Diego Padres will trot out Michael King for the start here and King is 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. This will be King’s second career start against the White Sox.
Chicago White Sox Recap
The Chicago White Sox come into this game looking to add on to their 8-2 win over the Padres on Friday to improve to 15-17 this season. After this series, the White Sox will head on the road for a series against the Angels.
White Sox Win 8 Of Last 11
Entering Friday, Munetaka Murakami has 26 hits with 12 home runs and 23 RBIs while Miguel Vargas has 23 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 15 RBIs and Colson Montgomery has 26 hits with 5 doubles, 8 home runs and 21 RBIs. Luisangel Acuna has 13 hits and Tristan Peters has 18 hits with a double so far this season. Chase Meidroth also has 28 hits with 6 doubles, a home run and 3 RBIs this year.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Chicago on Friday to fall to 19-12 on the year. After this series, the Padres will head on the road for a series against the San Francisco Giants.
Padres Lose 3 In A Row
Going into Friday, Jackson Merrill has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 15 RBIs while Ramon Laureano has 27 hits with 4 doubles, 2 triples, 4 home runs and 18 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 28 hits with 4 doubles and 13 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 30 hits with 2 doubles, 5 home runs and 17 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 22 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs as well on the year.
The Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: May 2, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael King Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 2.41
Home Record: 1-0
Last 5 against White Sox: 1-1
Why the San Diego Padres will win
The White Sox have lost each of their last 14 Saturday night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Padres have won each of their last 11 Saturday games.
The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last 14 Saturday night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Saturday games.
The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday home games.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Burke Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 3.21
Road Record: 1-1
Last 5 against Padres: 0-1
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
The White Sox have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
The Padres have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents following a loss.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the White Sox’s last eight games.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
The White Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL West opponents.
The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Padres’ last six games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Seven of the White Sox’s last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last 12 games against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the White Sox’s last eight games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
Gavin Sheets has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Padres as favorites.
Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T8th in the league in Steals (9) this season.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
Miguel Vargas has hit a home run in three of the White Sox’s last five road games.
Miguel Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of the White Sox’s last seven games as underdogs.
Munetaka Murakami ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (13) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Padres rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (27).
The Padres rank 28th in the league for hits this season (240).
The White Sox rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (34).
The White Sox rank 29th in the league for hits this season (238).
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres Prediction
I’m on the under here. I think this is a really solid pitching matchup in this game as Sean Burke has been pretty good for the White Sox this season and the Padres bats have started to cool off a bit. On the flipside, Michael King’s been really good in his own right and I think the White Sox have a much tougher test here after facing German Marquez on Friday who for me is the weak link of the Padres’ rotation. Give me the under.
