Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB Picks 7/2/24

In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 2nd at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

• The White Sox recent form and recent player performance 
• The Guardians recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cleveland
• Recent betting trends in games played between Chicago and Cleveland 
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Chicago and Cleveland

White Sox Trying to Keep Momentum 

The Chicago White Sox are 24-62 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Chicago is coming off of a series win against Colorado, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the White Sox won a makeup game with the Braves, lost all three against the Dodgers, and lost two out of three against the Tigers. Chicago is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are last in the AL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 267 runs with a .220 batting average and a .281 on base percentage. Paul DeJong is batting .236 with 15 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago has scored at least four runs in three straight games. 

Guardians Looking to Bounce Back 

The Cleveland Guardians are 52-30 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Cleveland is coming off of a series loss against Kansas City, where they lost three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Orioles, swept the Blue Jays, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Cleveland is 8-4 in their last 12 games and they are currently leading the AL Central standings. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 407 runs with a .245 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .280 with 23 home runs and 76 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Chris Flexen, who is 2-7 with a 5.13 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 79.0 innings pitched this year. Flexen has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings, but did allow four earned runs in his last road start. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Carlos Carrasco, who is 3-6 with a 5.27 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 70.0 innings pitched this season. Carrasco has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Guardians will beat the White Sox

• The Guardians have won each of their last nine games against the White Sox at Progressive Field following a road loss.
• The White Sox have lost 10 of their last 11 night games after going to extra innings.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against the White Sox following a road loss.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games after going to extra innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the White Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Guardians’ last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last three games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the White Sox and Guardians.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Josh Naylor has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last five night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against the White Sox.
• Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last eight games at Progressive Field.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last seven Tuesday games as favorites.
• Josh Naylor has recorded a Double in three of the Guardians’ last four games against AL opponents at Progressive Field.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last six games against the White Sox at Progressive Field.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 17 appearances against the White Sox.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Vaughn has scored at least one run in five of the White Sox’s last six night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one RBI in four of the White Sox’s last five games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Gavin Sheets has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the White Sox as underdogs.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 Tuesday appearances.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded two or more total bases in each of the White Sox’s last six games against the Guardians.
• Luis Robert has hit a home run in four of the White Sox’s last five games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Progressive Field.

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland comes into this series after losing four of their last five games, but they should be able to bounce back at home against this Chicago team. The Guardians are 26-9 at home this year, while the White Sox are just 8-33 on the road. Chicago has won three of their last four games, but they were able to take advantage of a bad Colorado team over the weekend. The White Sox are starting Flexen, who has had a few decent starts recently, but I don’t trust him in this spot at all. My Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for Cleveland to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Pick: Guardians -1.5