Chicago (44-80) vs Atlanta (56-68)
August 18, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta -197 / Chicago +185 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article, we will formulate a White Sox vs Braves Prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 18th at the Truist Park in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 56-68 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 30-30 home record and 55-59 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-4 road victory over the Guardians, and are 8-1 in their last 9 games. Over is 8-4-1 in their last 13 games and are playing the Marlins and the Mets next.
The Braves have a .243 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 125 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .264 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 72, while Marcell Ozuna leads the team in home runs with 20.
Spencer Strider (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 5-10 record, 4.69 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
Chicago White Sox Preview
The Chicago White Sox have a 44-80 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL Central. The White Sox have a 18-44 road record and are 55-61 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-6 road defeat by the Royals, and are 2-8 in their last 10 games. Under is 4-0 in their last 4 games and are playing the Royals and the Twins next.
The White Sox have a .229 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .367 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Lenyn Sosa leads the White Sox with 105 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI with 50, adding a team-high 16 home runs.
Reliever Yoendrys Gomez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the White Sox, and he has a 2-1 record, 5.56 ERA and 1.54 WHIP.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The White Sox have lost each of their last seven road games.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Monday night games as favorites.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Truist Park against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games at Truist Park.
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Braves’ last five games.
- The Braves have lost each of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The White Sox have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the White Sox’s last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the White Sox’s last nine games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (448).
- The Braves rank T25th in the league for doubles this season (186).
- The White Sox rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (467).
- The White Sox rank 29th in the league for hits this season (935).
White Sox vs Braves Prediction
The White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Braves, but the Braves are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings in Atlanta. Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 meetings.
In this White Sox vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -200 home favorites. The Braves have a better overall record and the White Sox have been horrendous on the road. Atlanta is currently on their best stretch of the season, with an 8-1 record in their last 9 games and are putting Strider on the mound, who has been better at home, with a 3.74 home ERA. The Braves also have a better offense, and are slightly better against right-handed pitching, so I expect them to keep rolling in this one and win comfortably by covering the runline.