Chicago Cubs vs Texas Rangers Prediction 5/9/2026 Today’s MLB Picks
Chris Ruffolo
May 5, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Cubs center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong (4) hits a single against the Cincinnati Reds during the seventh inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Chicago Cubs
Texas Rangers
Team Records
27-12
17-21
Spread
-1.5 123
+1.5 -149
Moneyline
-136
+113
Total
Over 8 (-116)
Under 8 (-103)
Where
Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas
When
Saturday, May 9, 2026
Time
07:05 PM EDT
TV
MLB.TV
The Chicago Cubs and the Texas Rangers meet Saturday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Chicago Cubs will send out Edward Cabrera here and Cabrera is 3-0 with a 3.27 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Cabrera’s first career start against the Rangers. Jack Leiter will start for the Rangers here and is 1-3 with a 5.45 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. This will be Leiter’s first career start against the Cubs.
Chicago Cubs Recap
The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to add on to their 7-1 win over the Rangers from Friday to sit at 27-12 this season. After this series, the Cubs will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.
Cubs Win Streak Hits Double Digits
Ian Happ has 34 hits with 6 doubles and a team-high 9 home runs and 18 RBIs while Alex Bregman has 37 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 13 RBIs. Nico Hoerner’s added 43 hits with 11 doubles, 4 home runs and 28 RBIs and Moises Ballesteros has 26 hits with 6 home runs and 19 RBIs. Pete Crow-Armstrong’s also added 37 hits with 5 doubles, 2 triples, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs as well on the year. Carson Kelly has also contributed 28 hits with 4 doubles, 2 home runs and 13 RBIs. Alex Bregman’s added 37 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 13 RBIs and Michael Busch has 33 hits wtih 8 doubles, 3 home runs and 23 RBIs. Dansby Swanson also has 26 hits with 6 home runs and 25 RBIs.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Cubs last time out to sit at 17-21 this season. After this series, the Rangers will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in a series at home.
Rangers Drop 5 Of Last 6
Brandon Nimmo has 41 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 12 RBIs while Jake Burger has 31 hits with 5 doubles, 6 home runs and 21 RBIs. Corey Seager has 28 hits with 6 doubles, 7 home runs and 19 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 19 hits with 3 doubles, 2 triples, a home run and 4 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 20 hits with 5 doubles, 4 home runs and 11 RBIs while Josh Jung has 40 hits with 12 doubles, 4 home runs and 19 RBIs as well on the year.
The Chicago Cubs @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: May 9, 2026
Probable Starting Pitcher: Jack Leiter Record this season: 1-3 ERA: 5.45
Home Record: 0-1
Last 5 against Cubs: –
Why the Texas Rangers will win
The home team has won seven of the Cubs’ last eight games.
The Cubs have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road favorites following a road win.
The Rangers have covered the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs following a home loss.
The Rangers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
Probable Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera Record this season: 3-0 ERA: 3.27
Road Record: 1-0
Last 5 against Rangers: –
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
The Cubs have won each of their last 10 games.
The Rangers have lost each of their last six Saturday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Cubs have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a home loss.
The Rangers have lost the first inning in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last nine Saturday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Rangers’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Eight of the Cubs’ last 10 road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of Jack Leiter’s last eight home appearances as a starter.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Cubs’ last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Cubs.
Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last nine Saturday night games.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances with his team as a favorite against AL West opponents.
Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T9th in the league in Steals (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Rangers rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (140).
The Rangers rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (133).
The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (215).
The Cubs rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.354).
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers Prediction
I’m on the Cubs in this one. I just think that Chicago’s the team in far better form right now and are the only team worth backing in their current form. Texas struggles to score and that’s not going to work when Jack Leiter has been giving up runs in bunches and the Cubs have been tearing the cover off of the ball in recent weeks. All in all, I think Chicago stays hot with a win here so give me the Cubbies in this one.
