| MATCHUP | Chicago Cubs | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 41-37 | 34-44 |
| Spread | -1.5 134 | +1.5 -162 |
| Moneyline | -123 | +102 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Wednesday, June 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Mets Game 1 Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, June 24th in the second game of this series and first of today’s double-header. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 34-44 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 18-19 home record and are coming off a 6-9 home defeat against the Cubs. They will face the Phillies and the Blue Jays next.
The Mets have a .231 batting average this season, .298 OBP and .372 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Juan Soto is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average, also adding a team-high 17 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 44.
Nolan McLean (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 4-4 record, 3.67 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 41-37 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 18-20 road record and are coming off a 9-6 road win against the Mets. They will face the Brewers and the Padres next.
The Cubs have a .244 batting average this season, .338 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 43 and adding a team-high 17 home runs.
The Cubs have not announced a starting pitcher for this game yet.
The Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets Betting Trends: June 24, 2026: Game 1
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean Record this season: 3-3 ERA: 3.91
- Home Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Cubs: 1-0
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight day games after playing the previous day.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last five road games against the Mets following a win.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Cubs following a home loss.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four day games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost each of their last four games on the first leg of a doubleheader.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Cubs and Mets at Citi Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Cubs’ last 10 games against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven Wednesday games at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Bo Bichette has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two home games against NL Central opponents.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Wednesday day appearances.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances after playing the previous day.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last four games against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (75).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for hits this season (474).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (268).
Cubs vs Mets Prediction
The Cubs have won their last four meetings against the Mets and have won two of their last three visits in New York.
In this Cubs vs Mets Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -140 road favorites. I cannot blindly take the Cubs here without knowing who will start, but I don’t trust Nolan McLean either, as he has been weaker at home and was torched in his only start against the Cubs last season. Both teams have been involved in some high-scoring games lately, going for 10-2 to the over in their last 12 games combined and yesterday’s game had a whopping 15 total runs. Take the over 9 in this one.