Milwaukee Brewers (16-16) vs Chicago Cubs (19-13)
Game Info: Friday, May 2, 2025 at 8:10 pm (American Family Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -102 / Chicago Cubs -118 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 19-13 on the year and play the Giants, Mets, and Marlins next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .264 on the season, have a .342 OBP, and a .457 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.98 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Ian Happ leads the Chicago Cubs with 38 hits and 16 RBI, while Kyle Tucker and Pete Crow-Armstrong have combined for 68 hits and 49 RBI.
Ben Brown gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 2-2 with a 6.04 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. This will be Brown’s second career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 16-16 on the year and play the Astros, Rays, and Guardians next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .244 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .368 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 38 hits and 15 RBI, while Jackson Chourio and Sal Frelick have combined for 70 hits and 33 RBI.
Quinn Priester gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 1-0 with a 3.79 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Priester’s second career game against the Chicago Cubs.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Cubs.
- The Cubs have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 16 of their last 17 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 night games at American Family Field following a road win.
- The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
- The road team has won four of the Cubs’ last five games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in six of the Brewers’ last seven games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games at American Family Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in each of the Brewers’ last three games against NL Central opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL Central opponents.
- Sal Frelick has scored a run in each of the Brewers’ last four games against the Cubs at American Family Field.
- William Contreras has recorded a Single in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 12 games as underdogs against the Cubs.
- Brice Turang ranks T10th in the league in Hits (38) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit at least one home run in three of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Ian Happ has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four road games against NL opponents.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded an RBI in each of the Cubs’ last four road games.
- Ian Happ has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Cubs’ last nine games as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Ian Happ has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
- Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 Friday night games as favorites.
- Seiya Suzuki ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.625) this season.
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Cubs have been the better team this season, so getting them at a cheap price has value, but I can’t get behind Brown and what he’s shown this season. In 25.1 innings, Brown has allowed 34 hits and 17 earned runs while walking 14. No, thanks. Priester has allowed 19 hits and eight runs in 19 innings, and three of his four starts have come on the road. In five home innings, Priester has allowed one run and zero runs. Near pick ’em prices, I have to side with the Brewers at home and the more reliable pitcher.