Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB Picks 6/28/24

David Racey

1 year ago

Milwaukee Brewers (48-33) vs Chicago Cubs (38-44)

Game Info: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 8:10 pm (American Family Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -135 / Chicago Cubs +115 — Over/Under: 8.5

In this article we will formulate a Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 28th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. To formulate this prediction for game one in the series, we will examine:

The Cubs recent form and recent player performance
The Brewers recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Chicago
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Milwaukee
Recent betting trends in games played between Chicago and Milwaukee
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Chicago and Milwaukee

Cubs Managed to Avoid the Sweep

The Chicago Cubs are 38-44 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against San Francisco, where they lost three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Mets, won two out of three against the Giants, and lost two out of three against the Cardinals. Chicago is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL Central standings.

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 339 runs with a .230 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Nico Hoerner is batting .248 with three home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has allowed at least four runs in six of their last eight games.

Brewers are Going for Five Straight

The Milwaukee Brewers are 48-33 this year and they have won four games in a row. Milwaukee is coming off of a series win against Texas, where they won all three games by scores of 6-3, 3-1, and 6-5. Prior to that series, the Brewers lost three out of four against the Padres, won two out of three against the Angels, and won two out of three against the Reds. Milwaukee is 8-4 in their last 12 games and they continue to lead the NL Central.

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 391 runs with a .255 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .238 with 13 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee has scored at least five runs in five of their last seven games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jameson Taillon, who is 4-3 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 68.1 innings pitched this year. Taillon has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Colin Rea, who is 6-2 with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 82.0 innings pitched this season. Rea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will beat the Chicago Cubs

The Cubs have lost each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a win.
The Brewers have won each of their last five home games.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 games against National League opponents following a win.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Cubs’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Brewers’ last eight night games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine night games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight Friday games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last eight games as home favorites against the Cubs.
Willy Adames has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last five night games.
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last nine road games.
Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of his four previous appearances with the Cubs as road underdogs against the Brewers.
Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in two of the Cubs’ last three games as road underdogs.
Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in each of his four previous appearances with the Cubs as road underdogs against the Brewers.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Ian Happ has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (299).
The Milwaukee Brewers are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Chicago Cubs rank 25th in the league for doubles this season (115).
The Chicago Cubs rank T6th in the league for triples this season (15).