| MATCHUP | Chicago Cubs | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 81-65 | 90-56 |
| Spread | +1.5 -186 | -1.5 153 |
| Moneyline | +109 | -131 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-112) | Under 7.5 (-108) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 90-56 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 49-25 home record and are coming off a 4-3 home win against the Cubs. They will face the Reds and the Pirates next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .257 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 86, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Logan Henderson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 9-3 record, 2.48 ERA and 0.79 WHIP.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have an 81-65 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 40-34 road record and are coming off a 3-4 road loss against the Brewers. They will face the Pirates and the Braves next.
The Chicago Cubs have a .251 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .430 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .281 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 97, adding a team-high 41 home runs.
Kevin Gausman (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 9-11 record, 4.38 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
The Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: September 9, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson Record this season: 9-3 ERA: 2.48
- Home Record: 5-0
- Last 5 against Cubs: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven games at American Family Field against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have lost four of their last five road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games at American Family Field after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games against NL opponents after going to extra innings.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kevin Gausman Record this season: 9-11 ERA: 4.38
- Road Record: 4-6
- Last 5 against Brewers: 2-0
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won nine of their last 10 Wednesday games as road underdogs.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 14 games as road underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Brewers’ last 12 games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Cubs’ last five road games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last seven night games at American Family Field.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Cubs’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.
- Logan Henderson has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
- Luis Lara has recorded a hit in each of his 11 previous appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
- Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Alex Bregman has hit at least one home run in five of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games as underdogs.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (41) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1271).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (134).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (774).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (203).
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Cubs and have won their last two meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Cubs vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -130 home favorites. I like the Brewers in this one to keep rolling at home for their third straight win. Henderson has been undefeated at home this season with a 5-0 record and 2.08 ERA, while Gausman has been up and down, having given up 5, 3 and 6 runs in three of his last five starts. On top of that, the Brewers have been scorching-hot against right-handed pitching in their last 5 games with 7.3 runs per game. Take the Brewers to win this one at home.

