| MATCHUP | Chicago Cubs | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 81-63 | 88-56 |
| Spread | +1.5 -199 | -1.5 163 |
| Moneyline | +104 | -126 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-109) | Under 8.5 (-111) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Monday, September 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have an 88-56 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 47-25 home record and are coming off a 8-12 road loss against the Reds. They will face the Reds and the Pirates next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .256 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .400 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .281 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 85, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Robert Gasser (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 4-5 record, 4.57 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have an 81-63 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 40-32 road record and are coming off a 3-10 road loss against the Marlins. They will face the Pirates and the Braves next.
The Chicago Cubs have a .252 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .431 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .280 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 96 and adding a team-high 40 home runs.
Matthew Boyd (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has an 8-3 record, 4.05 ERA and 1.23 WHIP.
The Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: September 7, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Robert Gasser Record this season: 4-5 ERA: 4.57
- Home Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Cubs: 0-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 11 Monday day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last eight Monday games at American Family Field.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Monday games at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last seven Monday day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three home games.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Matthew Boyd Record this season: 8-3 ERA: 4.05
- Road Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-2
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Brewers’ last nine home games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last eight road games against NL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 11 of the Brewers’ last 12 games at American Family Field.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Robert Gasser has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
- Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
- Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.396) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Alex Bregman has hit at least one home run in five of the Cubs’ last six games as underdogs.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NL Central opponents.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (40) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1253).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (133).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (768).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (201).
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction
The Cubs are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Brewers and have won their last two visits in Milwaukee.
In this Cubs vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -120 home favorites. I don’t like the pitching in this matchup, as both starters have a 4+ ERA and both have not been in good form lately. Boyd has given up 14 runs in three of his last four starts and Gasser has given up 12 runs across his last four starts. Both teams have been playing high-scoring games lately and they are 14-4 to the over in their last 18 games combined and they have been excellent against lefties lately, with 13.9 runs combined in their last 10 games, while both bullpens have been shaky at best. Take the over 8.5 in this one.

