| MATCHUP | Chicago Cubs | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 50-40 | 42-49 |
| Spread | -1.5 135 | +1.5 -163 |
| Moneyline | -118 | -102 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (100) | Under 9.5 (-120) |
| Where | Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland | |
| When | Tuesday, July 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 50-40 on the year and play the Reds next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .244 on the season and have a .338 OBP and a .409 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs’ pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Chicago Cubs with 98 hits and 49 RBI, while Alex Bregman and Nico Hoerner have combined for 168 hits and 70 RBI.
Matthew Boyd gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 3-1 with a 5.08 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. Boyd is 1-1 with a 4.83 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 42-49 on the year and play the Royals next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .238 on the season and have a .319 OBP and a .395 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles’ pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 86 hits and 23 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso have combined for 168 hits and 100 RBI.
Shane Baz gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 4-8 with a 4.19 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. This will be Baz’s second career game against the Chicago Cubs.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Cubs and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Cubs have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have lost five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last four road games against the Orioles.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last four games as favorites against American League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last 10 Tuesday night games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Cubs’ last six games as road favorites.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Shane Baz has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Jeremiah Jackson has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his six previous road appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AL opponents.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 5th in the league in Steals (23) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 25th in the league for hits allowed this season (785).
- The Orioles rank 24th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.253).
- The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).
- The Cubs rank 4th in the league for runs scored this season (455).
Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
I’m looking at the over in this spot. Boyd has a 5.08 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through 33.2 innings, and a 5.19 ERA and .324 batting average allowed in 8.2 innings on the road. Baz has a 4.19 ERA and 1.37 WHIP through 101 innings. At home through 39.2 innings, Baz has a 4.08 ERA and a .284 batting average allowed. Two hittable pitchers. I expect some offense. Give me the over.