| MATCHUP | Chicago Cubs | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 27-16 | 30-13 |
| Spread | +1.5 -157 | -1.5 130 |
| Moneyline | +135 | -163 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-117) | Under 7.5 (-103) |
| Where | Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia | |
| When | Thursday, May 14, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, May 14th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 30-13 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 14-6 home record and are coming off a 4-1 win at home against the Cubs. They will face the Red Sox and the Marlins next.
The Braves have a .272 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .453 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.06 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .311 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 37, also adding a team‑high 14 home runs.
Chris Sale (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 6-2 record, 2.20 ERA and 0.88 WHIP.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 27-16 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 9-11 away record and are coming off a 1-4 loss on the road against the Braves. They will face the White Sox and the Brewers next.
The Cubs have a .246 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .272 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 29. Ian Happ adds a team‑high 9 home runs.
Ben Brown (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 1-1 record, 1.82 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.
The Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: May 14, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale Record this season: 6-2 ERA: 2.20
- Home Record: 4-0
- Last 5 against Cubs: 3-2
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The home team has won 11 of the Cubs’ last 12 games.
- The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ben Brown Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 1.82
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-1
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Braves have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites following a home win.
- The underdogs have won three of the Braves’ last four games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last seven Thursday road games against National League opponents.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in 11 of their last 14 home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last nine games between the Cubs and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight Thursday night games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven games.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances.
- Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Braves as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Chris Sale ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (6) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Carson Kelly has hit a home run in each of his two previous road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight night games.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T10th in the league in Steals (10) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (237).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (402).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (201).
- The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).
Cubs vs Braves Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Their last 7 meetings have all gone under the total.
In this Cubs vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -165 home favorites. The Braves have won both games in this series with a combined 9-3 score and now have Chris Sale on the mound, who has been elite this season and unhittable at home, with a 4-0 record and 0.75 ERA. They also have both the best offense and the best bullpen and the Cubs are going for a bullpen game, so this one is straightforward. Lay the juice and take the Braves on the moneyline in this one.