Cardinals vs Mets Prediction 6/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cardinals vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 11th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 37-28 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-0 and 9-2. In game two, St. Louis scored the first seven runs in the game and they cruised to the easy win. The Cardinals recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Walker, who went 2-5 with one home run and four RBIs. Pallante allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Romero pitched a scoreless ninth. Prior to this series, St. Louis swept the Reds in three games, but lost two out of three against the Rangers before that. 

This season, St. Louis has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 294 runs with a .244 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Jordan Walker has led the Cardinals with 17 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Alec Burleson has added 10 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Hunter Dobbins, who is 1-0 with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 13.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 29-38 this season after they lost game two by a score of 9-2 last night. New York cut the deficit to 7-2 in the fourth inning, but didn’t score any runs in the final five innings in the lopsided loss. The Mets recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Alvarez, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Warren allowed two hits and two earned runs in 1.0 inning for the loss, while Peterson allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 3.2 innings in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Padres, but lost two out of three against the Mariners before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 267 runs with a .227 batting average and a .291 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 13 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added five home runs and 32 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last four day games after playing the previous day.
• The Cardinals have lost each of their last five Thursday day games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have covered the run line in three of their last four home games after playing the previous day.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four road games following a road win.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Cardinals and Mets.
• The Mets have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games at Citi Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Mets.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against the Cardinals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Christian Scott’s last four appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Hunter Dobbins’ last four road appearances as a starter.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five games as favorites.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Alec Burleson has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last two games against the Mets.
• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jordan Walker ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.566) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.363).
• The Cardinals rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (524).
• The Cardinals are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction 

St. Louis was able to extend their winning streak with a blowout win on Wednesday and they are going for the sweep here. The Cardinals are 18-12 on the road this year, while the Mets are 15-17 at home. New York has lost three of their last four games and they have been outscored 16-2 in the series. The Mets are starting Scott, who has allowed one earned run in his last 16.1 innings, while Dobbins has allowed four earned runs and 10 hits over 13.0 innings this year. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 9