Milwaukee (77-44) vs Cincinnati (64-59)
August 16, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati +1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5
In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 16th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 77-44 this season after they won game one by a score of 10-8 on Friday night. Milwaukee trailed 8-1 in the second inning, but they scored the last nine runs to escape with the crazy victory. The Brewers recorded 17 hits in the game and they were led by Yelich, who went 4-5 with two home runs and five RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Misiorowski, who allowed four hits and five earned runs over 1.1 innings, while Mears picked up the win and Megill got the save.
Prior to this series, the Brewers swept the Pirates in three games and also swept the Mets in three games. Milwaukee has won 13 games in a row and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 630 runs with a .260 batting average and a .333 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 25 home runs and 86 RBIs, while William Contreras has added 12 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Quinn Priester, who is 11-2 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 118.2 innings pitched this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 64-59 this year after they lost game one in heart breaking fashion on Friday night. Cincinnati scored eight runs in the first two innings, but they went scoreless over the last seven innings in the defeat. The Reds recorded nine hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by De La Cruz and Lux, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Cincinnati started Martinez, who allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 2.2 innings, while Barlow picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Reds won two out of three against the Phillies and split four games with the Pirates. Cincinnati has won four of their last six games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 562 runs with a .247 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 76 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 14 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Zack Littell, who is 9-8 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 145.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Brewers will beat the Reds
- The Brewers have won each of their last 13 games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have lost four of their last five games at Great American Ball Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Great American Ball Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Reds’ last three games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Brewers and Reds.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Brewers’ last seven road games.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four games as home underdogs against the Brewers.
- Miguel Andujar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Miguel Andujar has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has recorded a Double in four of the Brewers’ last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
- Christian Yelich has hit at least one home run in five of the Brewers’ last six games at Great American Ball Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Brewers vs Reds Prediction
Milwaukee continues to find ways to win and they are looking for win number 14 in a row here. The Brewers are 35-24 on the road this year, while the Reds are 35-28 at home. Cincinnati blew a huge chance to get a nice win on Friday and they are starting Littell, who has allowed five earned runs and 12 hits over 11.2 innings with the Reds. The Brewers are going with Priester, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I don’t know how Cincinnati is able to bounce back quickly after Friday’s disaster, so give me Milwaukee to get another win here.