| MATCHUP | Milwaukee Brewers | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 103-59 | 98-64 |
| Spread | -1.5 129 | +1.5 -156 |
| Moneyline | -142 | +118 |
| Total | Over 7 (-113) | Under 7 (-107) |
| Where | Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida | |
| When | Tuesday, October 27, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | Fox | |
In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, October 27th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Series matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are up 3-0 in this series after winning the first three games by scores of 3-2, 5-4, and 10-1. In game three, Milwaukee led 2-0 after the third inning and added eight runs in the fifth in the blowout win. The Brewers recorded 16 hits in the game and they were led by Turang, who went 3-5 with two RBIs. Gasser allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Woodruff allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee swept the Dodgers in four games and defeated the Padres in four games.
This season, Milwaukee had a 3.51 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they scored 832 runs with a .258 batting average and a .341 on base percentage. Jake Bauers led the Brewers with 26 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Brice Turang added 21 home runs and 100 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is TBD.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are down 0-3 in this series after they lost game three by a score of 10-1 on Monday night. Tampa Bay absolutely fell apart with two outs in the fifth inning and they never had a chance to come back, but did score in the ninth to avoid being shutout. The Rays recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Diaz, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Peralta allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Booser allowed four earned runs without recording an out. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay defeated the Guardians in six games and swept the Yankees in three games.
This season, Tampa Bay had a 3.70 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they scored 736 runs with a .258 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda led the Rays with 22 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Junior Caminero added 42 home runs and 101 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Griffin Jax, who is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this postseason.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won five of their last six games as home underdogs.
- The Brewers have lost 10 of their last 13 night playoff games after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last seven games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four playoff games as favorites following a win.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 12 night games after playing the previous day.
- The Rays have lost each of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against AL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Brewers’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Brewers and Rays at Tropicana Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last five road games against AL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rays’ last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit a home run in four of the Rays’ last six games at Tropicana Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Griffin Jax has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances at Tropicana Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 games at Tropicana Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz ranks 4th in the league in Hits (180) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Mitchell has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three road playoff games.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Jackson Chourio ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.291) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1405).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.258).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (832).
Brewers vs Rays Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup just one win away from winning the World Series and they have won eight games in a row. The Brewers were 48-33 on the road this year, while the Rays were 55-26 at home. Tampa Bay has been pretty bad at the plate in this series, as they have scored a total of seven runs through three games. The Brewers haven’t announced their starter, while Jax has allowed four earned runs over 6.0 innings in the postseason. I think we could see more scoring in this one, but I will side with the Rays and the plus money at home.