Brewers vs Pirates Prediction 5/25/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 25th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 25-28 this season after they lost two of the first three games in this series by scores of 8-5, 5-6, and 1-2. In their game three loss, Milwaukee tied the game at one in the second inning, but they didn’t score over the last seven innings for the loss. The Brewers recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Durbin, who went 3-3 with one RBI in the loss. Milwaukee started Priester, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Alexander allowed two hits and one earned run in relief for the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Orioles, but lost two out of three against the Twins before that. Milwaukee has lost three of its last four games, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 226 runs with a .233 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with nine home runs and 30 RBIs, while Rhys Hoskins has added seven home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Logan Henderson, who is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP over 16.0 innings pitched this season. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 19-34 this year after they won game three by a score of 2-1 on Saturday afternoon. Pittsburgh scored once in the first inning, and they were able to score again in the seventh for the low-scoring win. The Pirates recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Horwitz and Cruz, who both had one RBI in the win. Pittsburgh started Keller, who allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Shugart got the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates won two out of three against the Reds, but lost all three games against the Phillies before that. Pittsburgh has won four of its last five games, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 159 runs with a .222 batting average and a .303 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 10 home runs and 22 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added six home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bailey Falter, who is 3-3 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 54.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Pirates will beat the Brewers

• The Pirates have won three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last seven games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in four of the Pirates’ last five games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games as road favorites after playing the previous day.

Why the Brewers will beat the Pirates 

• The Pirates have lost four of their last five home games against the Brewers following a win.
• The favorites have won eight of the Brewers’ last nine games.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against the Brewers following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Brewers’ last three day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Pirates’ last six games as underdogs.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has scored at least one run in five of his last six home appearances.
• Oneil Cruz has hit at least one home run in three of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Pirates’ last five home games against NL Central opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Sunday day appearances.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Sunday day appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last six games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Christian Yelich has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last six games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Brewers’ last five day games.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 15 games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction 

Pittsburgh has the lowest scoring offense in the MLB so far this season, but they have won two games in a row and finally have some momentum. The Pirates are 13-15 at home this year, while the Brewers are 10-18 on the road. Milwaukee has been very inconsistent at the plate as well, and they will face Falter, who has allowed a total of one earned run in his last four outings. Pittsburgh will face Henderson, who has allowed three earned runs and nine hits over 16.0 innings. This should be a decent pitching matchup, so I will take the under with this low-scoring Pittsburgh team. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 8.5