Philadelphia Phillies (36-21) vs Milwaukee Brewers (30-28)
Game Info: Saturday, May 31, 2025 at 4:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -185 / Milwaukee Brewers +154 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 31st at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 36-21 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 6-2. Philadelphia cut the lead to 2-1 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the next three runs and couldn’t recover from the loss. The Phillies recorded four hits in the game, and they were led by Schwarber and Castellanos, who both had one RBI in the loss. Philadelphia started Walker, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Banks and Hernandez both allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Athletics. Philadelphia has lost three of its last five games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 272 runs with a .257 batting average and a .335 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 19 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added eight home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 5-0 with a 2.15 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 67.0 innings pitched this year.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 30-28 this season after they won game one on Friday night. Milwaukee scored two runs in the first inning and added three more in the fifth and one more in the ninth to secure the win. The Brewers recorded 12 hits in the game, and they were led by Yelich, who went 3-5 with two home runs and four RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Hall, who pitched three innings, while Priester allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win.
Prior to this series, the Brewers swept the Red Sox in three games and split four games with the Pirates. Milwaukee has won five games in a row, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 252 runs with a .233 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 12 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Rhys Hoskins has added seven home runs and 29 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Chad Patrick, who is 2-4 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 57.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Phillies will beat the Brewers
- The Phillies have won 15 of their last 16 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last five day games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five Saturday games as favorites.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the last 11 games between the Brewers and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six road games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five day games against NL Central opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two home games against the Brewers.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Brewers.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has hit at least one home run in three of his last six appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine road games against NL opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Sal Frelick has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last six games.
- Sal Frelick has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Brewers’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee was able to pick up a great road win on Friday night, and they have won five games in a row. The Brewers are 12-18 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 19-10 at home. Philadelphia has cooled off over their last five games, and their pitching staff has struggled, but they will start Luzardo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Milwaukee is going with Patrick, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but hasn’t pitched very deep into three of those games. Luzardo has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB to start this season, and I expect the Philadelphia offense to bounce back. Take Philadelphia -1.5 here.