Brewers vs Mets Prediction 8/25/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 25th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 81-50 this season after they won two out of three against the Braves by scores of 2-1, 4-1, and 2-4. In game three, Milwaukee cut the deficit to 3-2 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t score anymore runs in the loss. The Brewers recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lara, who went 1-2 with one RBI. Drohan allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Ashby allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Mariners and three out of four against the Dodgers. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.42 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .220 opponent batting average, while they have scored 650 runs with a .254 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 23 home runs and 75 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 16 home runs and 75 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Kyle Harrison, who is 10-3 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 98.1 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 59-72 this year after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 4-6, 10-5, and 1-2. In game three, New York tied the game at one in the ninth inning, but they allowed a run in the bottom of the ninth for the loss. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Young, who went 1-3 with one RBI. McLean allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Senga picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Padres and all three against the Nationals. 

This season, New York has a 4.07 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 546 runs with a .236 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Zac Thornton, who is 3-4 with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 50.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Brewers and Mets at Citi Field.
• The Brewers have lost five of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Brewers and Mets at Citi Field.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at Citi Field following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 14 home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Mets’ last 12 home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Brewers’ last 12 road games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four home games against NL Central opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Luis Torrens has hit a home run in six of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Luis Torrens has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Zach Thornton has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances at Citi Field.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jake Bauers has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Kyle Harrison has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Harrison has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Brewers vs Mets Prediction 

Milwaukee comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have allowed one run in two of their last three. The Brewers are 36-26 on the road this year, while the Mets are 30-35 at home. New York has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have been very competitive recently, despite their poor record. The Mets are starting Thornton, who has allowed three earned runs in four of his last five starts, while Harrison has allowed three earned runs in three of his last five outings. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 7.5