Brewers vs Marlins Prediction 4/18/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 18th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 11-8 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-5 in extra innings on Friday. Milwaukee led 3-0 in the fourth inning and 4-1 in the sixth, but they blew the lead, before escaping in the 10th. The Brewers recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Mitchell, who went 2-4 with three RBIs. Crow allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Uribe got the win and Megill picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Blue Jays, but lost all three against the Nationals before that. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 98 runs with a .238 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with five home runs and 13 RBIs, while Garrett Mitchell has added one home run and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Brandon Woodruff, who is 1-0 with a 4.32 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 9-11 this season after they lost game one by a score of 7-5 on Friday. Miami tied the game at four in the eighth, but they allowed three runs in the 10th and couldn’t keep pace for the loss. The Marlins recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Lopez, who went 3-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Junk allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Faucher picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Braves and all three against the Tigers. 

This season, Miami has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 93 runs with a .257 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with four home runs and 18 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and 13 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 2-1 with a 2.67 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 30.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last five games against the Brewers following a home loss.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last five games against the Marlins following a road win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games at LoanDepot Park following an extra innings loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Marlins following a road win.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following an extra innings loss.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in 20 of their last 21 games as underdogs following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 21 of their last 24 games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Brewers’ last four road games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Brewers and Marlins.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Brewers’ last five road games against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Marlins as home favorites.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at LoanDepot Park.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances at LoanDepot Park.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven home appearances with the Marlins against NL opponents.
• Jakob Marsee ranks T4th in the league in Steals (8) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games.
• Brandon Woodruff has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in six of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
• The Marlins rank 26th in the league for home runs this season (15).
• The Brewers rank 6th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
• The Brewers rank 9th in the league for runs scored this season (98).

Brewers vs Marlins Prediction 

Milwaukee comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last five. The Brewers are 4-3 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 7-4 at home. Miami has dropped three in a row and they have allowed 6+ runs in four of their last five. The Marlins are starting Alcantara, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last starts, while Woodruff has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his first three starts for the Brewers. Milwaukee is the better team, but Alcantara has been very good and I think he bounces back from a rough start with a gem here. Take Miami to win.

David Racey's Pick: Marlins ML