Braves vs Royals Prediction 07/29/2025 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 29th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 45-60 this season after they won game one by a score of 10-7 on Monday night. Atlanta trailed 2-0 in the first inning, but they scored nine of the next eleven runs to pull away in the win. The Braves recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Riley, who went 2-6 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Strider, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Iglesias picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost all three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Giants. Atlanta has lost five of their last six games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 437 runs with a .242 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 18 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 15 home runs and 52 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Erick Fedde, who is 3-10 with a 5.22 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 101.2 innings pitched this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 52-55 this year after they lost game one by a score of 10-7 on Monday. Kansas City scored two runs in the first inning, but they only scored one run between the second and seventh innings for the loss. The Royals recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Fermin, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the loss. KC started Hill, who allowed three hits and four earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Cruz allowed four earned runs in relief.

Prior to that series, the Royals won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Cubs. Kansas City has won three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 383 runs with a .244 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this season. Vinnie Pasquantino has led KC with 17 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Salvador Perez has added 18 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Seth Lugo, who is 7-5 with a 2.95 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 113.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Royals will beat the Braves

• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight games following a win.
• The Royals have won each of their last three games following a loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Royals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last five night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Braves and Royals at Kauffman Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Braves’ last 10 road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Royals’ last six home games against NL East opponents.

Braves vs Royals Prediction 

Atlanta picked up a high scoring win in game one to snap their losing streak, but they have allowed at least seven runs in four of their last five games. The Braves are 19-34 on the road this year, while the Royals are 26-28 at home. Kansas City has scored 5+ runs in three of their last five games and they are facing Fedde, who really struggled with the Cardinals this year. The Royals are starting Lugo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. I think the change of scenery will be good for Fedde, but I have to side with the Royals here.