Braves vs Reds Prediction 08/01/2025 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 1st at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 46-62 this year after they won game one by a score of 12-11 in extra innings on Thursday night. Atlanta blew an 11-3 lead in the eighth inning, but they rallied for the win in the 10th. The Braves recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Albies, White, and Williams, who all had two RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Carrasco, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Dunning allowed five earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Royals and all three against the Rangers. Atlanta has lost seven of their last nine games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 455 runs with a .243 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 18 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 16 home runs and 54 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 4-7 with a 6.29 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP over 87.1 innings pitched this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 57-53 this season after they lost game one on Thursday night. Cincinnati led 3-0 in the third, but they allowed the next 11 runs in the game and fell short in extras. The Reds recorded 17 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by De La Cruz, Steer, and Hayes, who all had three RBIs in the loss. Cincinnati started Abbott, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Pagan picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did sweep the Rays in three games before that. Cincinnati has lost three of their last four games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 507 runs with a .247 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 12 home runs and 46 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 8-8 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 109.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Reds will beat the Braves

• The Braves have lost nine of their last 10 day games after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have won seven of their last eight day games following a home loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games following a win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Great American Ball Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Braves will beat the Reds

• The Reds have lost each of their last six day games at Great American Ball Park following an extra innings loss.
• The Braves have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against the Reds.
• The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games at Great American Ball Park following an extra innings loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last five road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six Friday day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Reds’ last six day games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Brady Singer has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 home appearances after playing the previous day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Michael Harris has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last four games against the Reds at Great American Ball Park.
• Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last nine games at Great American Ball Park.

Braves vs Reds Prediction

Atlanta was able to win a wild game one to start this series on Thursday night and they will look to make it two in a row here. The Braves are 20-36 on the road this year, while the Reds are 32-25 at home. Cincinnati has allowed at least five runs in three of their last four games and they are starting Singer, who has allowed 1, 7, and 3 earned runs in his last three starts. Atlanta is going with Elder, who has allowed 8, 3, 2, 4, and 9 earned runs in his last five. I think the offenses will stay hot in this game and I like the over.