Braves vs Orioles Prediction 7/24/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 24th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 60-42 this season after they won three out of four against the Padres by scores of 3-2, 3-8, 7-6, and 6-5. In game four, Atlanta trailed 3-0 in the second inning, but they scored the next six runs and barely escaped with the win. The Braves recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Smith, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Sale allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Iglesias picked up the save. Prior to that series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Rangers, but lost two out of three against the Cardinals before that. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.68 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 508 runs with a .250 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 26 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 19 home runs and 55 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 6-4 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 92.1 innings pitched this season. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 50-53 this year after they lost two out of three against the Red Sox by scores of 5-6, 3-6, and 5-1. In game three, Baltimore scored four runs in the first inning and they never looked back in the win. The Orioles recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Beavers, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Bradish allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Wells threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore swept the Astros in three games and swept the Royals in three games. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 472 runs with a .239 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 21 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 17 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 6-7 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 96.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Braves have lost each of their last four road games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Orioles have lost nine of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
• The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Braves and Orioles.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Braves and Orioles.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last four night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last six home games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Braves’ last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit at least one home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jeremiah Jackson has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against NL opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Drake Baldwin has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Mike Yastrzemski has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
• Michael Harris ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.299) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (395).
• The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (395).
• The Braves rank T27th in the league for triples this season (8).
• The Braves rank T27th in the league for triples this season (8).

Braves vs Orioles Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games, but they have allowed 19 runs in their last three. The Braves are 28-22 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 28-25 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last four. The Orioles are starting Rogers, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts, while Holmes has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five outings. This is a very solid pitching matchup, but I am going to take the Orioles with Rogers on the mound.

David Racey's Pick: Orioles ML