Braves vs Mets Prediction 7/28/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 28th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 62-44 this season after they lost game one by a score of 3-14 on Monday night. Atlanta led 1-0 in the first inning and they were tied 3-3 in the fourth, but the bullpen fell apart for the loss. The Braves recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Albies, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Perez allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Thomas allowed 11 earned runs in relief for the loss. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Orioles and three out of four against the Padres. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 523 runs with a .249 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 27 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 20 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 11-6 with a 2.19 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 111.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 45-62 this year after they won game one by a score of 14-3 last night. New York blew an early 3-1 lead, but they scored the last 11 runs for the lopsided win. The Mets recorded 19 hits in the game and they were led by Lindor, who went 3-5 with two home runs and six RBIs. Thornton allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.1 innings for the win, while Brazoban picked up a hold. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Brewers. 

This season, New York has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 446 runs with a .235 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 3-2 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 63.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Braves have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against the Braves at Citi Field.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last nine Tuesday night games as favorites against the Mets.
• The Mets have lost nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
• The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against the Braves following a home win.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in 11 of their last 14 games as favorites.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Braves’ last eight road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against the Braves have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Chris Sale’s last nine appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games.
• Christian Scott has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as road favorites.
• Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.

Braves vs Mets Prediction 

New York was able to get the blowout win to start this series on Monday and they have scored 22 runs in their last two games. The Mets are 23-30 at home this year, while the Braves are 30-24 on the road. Atlanta has lost two of their last three games and they have scored three runs or fewer in three straight. The Braves are starting Sale, who has allowed 3, 0, 0, 3, and 1 earned run in his last five starts, while Scott has allowed 3, 0, 0, 3, and 2 earned runs in his last five outings. I know the price isn’t great, but I am going to take the Braves to win with Sale on the mound.

David Racey's Pick: Braves ML