| MATCHUP | Atlanta Braves | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 46-24 | 31-39 |
| Spread | -1.5 162 | +1.5 -197 |
| Moneyline | -101 | -120 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-109) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Saturday, June 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 04:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 13th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 45-24 this season after they lost game one by a score of 7-5 on Friday. Atlanta tied the game at two in the second inning, but they allowed the next five runs and couldn’t get back into the game. The Braves recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Albies, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Strider allowed six hits and seven earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Ritchie threw the last five innings. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost both games against the White Sox, but did sweep the Pirates before that.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.27 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .219 opponent batting average, while they have scored 355 runs with a .256 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 20 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 13 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 4-3 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 56.2 innings pitched this season.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 31-38 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-5 last night. New York scored two runs in the first inning and they took control with a huge second inning in the win. The Mets recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bichette, who went 2-3 with two home runs and six RBIs. McLean allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Perez got the win and Williams picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Cardinals, but did win two out of three against the Padres before that.
This season, New York has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 279 runs with a .228 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 15 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added eight home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 1-1 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 43.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last 12 games at Citi Field against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have lost each of their last three games.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last five games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Citi Field.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won 10 of their last 15 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have lost five of their last six day games against the Braves at Citi Field following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday road games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Braves following a home win.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Mets’ last 11 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven Saturday games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four road games against NL East opponents.
Braves vs Mets Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak, but they have scored at least five runs in three of their last five. The Braves are 23-13 on the road this year, while the Mets are 17-17 at home. New York has split their last four games, but they have allowed 5+ runs in four straight. The Mets are starting Manaea, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings, while Perez has been elite for the Braves this year. Take Atlanta to get the win here.