Braves vs Marlins Prediction 5/20/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 20th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 33-16 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 0-12 and 8-4. In game two, Atlanta trailed 4-2 in the third inning, but they scored the last six runs for the win. The Braves recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Olson, who went 2-3 with three RBIs. Perez allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Lee got the win in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Cubs. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.16 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .208 opponent batting average, while they have scored 258 runs with a .263 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 14 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 13 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 6-3 with a 1.96 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 55.0 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 22-27 this season after they lost game two by a score of 8-4 on Tuesday night. Miami erased an early 2-0 deficit to take a 4-2 lead, but they failed to score over the last six innings for the loss. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Stowers, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Garrett allowed three hits and two earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Faucher allowed three earned runs in relief for the loss. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Rays and two out of three against the Twins. 

This season, Miami has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 217 runs with a .248 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 42 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 2-4 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 50.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last three games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have lost each of their last five night games against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park following a win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games at LoanDepot Park following a win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Braves at LoanDepot Park following a loss.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last six Wednesday night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in 16 of their last 17 games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last four games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Marlins’ last 11 games as home underdogs against National League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Xavier Edwards has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last five games at LoanDepot Park.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 games against NL opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last seven night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Braves vs Marlins Prediction 

Atlanta was able to bounce back from a blowout loss in game one with a win on Tuesday, but they have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games. The Braves are 17-8 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 15-13 at home. Miami has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in four of their last five. The Marlins are starting Junk, who has allowed 11 earned runs and 17 hits in his last two starts, while Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. Take the Braves -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Braves -1.5