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Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB Picks 6/19/24

Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Blue Jays (35-38) vs Boston Red Sox (39-35)

June 19, 2024 at 07:07 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -125 / Boston Red Sox +105 — Over/Under: 8.5

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In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 19th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

  • The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Blue Jays recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Toronto 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Toronto 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and Toronto 

Red Sox Going for Five Straight 

The Boston Red Sox are 39-35 this season and they have won four games in a row. Boston has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-3 and 4-3. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Yankees, won two out of three against the Phillies, and split four games with the White Sox. Boston is 6-1 in their last seven games and they are third in the AL East standings. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 343 runs with a .254 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .284 with 14 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has scored seven runs or more in five of their last seven games. 

Blue Jays Still Looking for Consistent Offense 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 35-38 this year and they have lost four of their last six games. Toronto has dropped the first two games in this series and they have allowed 11 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Guardians, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and won two out of three against the Athletics. Toronto is 7-6 in their last 13 games, but they are fourth in the AL East standings. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 284 runs with a .233 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Daulton Varsho is batting .216 with 11 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has scored three runs or fewer in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 6-4 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 63.0 innings pitched this year. Bello has allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts and has gone 4.2 innings in each of his last two outings. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 5-5 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched this year. Gausman has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow nine earned runs in the two other outings in that span. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

The Blue Jays have won five of their last six night games against the Red Sox at Rogers Centre following a home loss.The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games following a road win.The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against the Red Sox at Rogers Centre following a home loss.The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Red Sox’s last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.Four of the last five games between the Red Sox and Blue Jays have gone UNDER the total runs line.The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven Wednesday night games at Rogers Centre.

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

Boston comes into this game playing some of their best baseball of the season and they are 21-15 on the road. Toronto has played decently well over the last two weeks, but they are just 18-18 at home. The Red Sox will look to stay hot in this matchup, but they are starting Bello, who has been very bad over his last few starts. The Blue Jays are going with Gausman, who has been mostly good in recent performances. I really don’t like what I have seen from Bello recently, so my Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for the Blue Jays to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Blue Jays ML

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