Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 6/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Rays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, June 10th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 39-25 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 23-9 home record and are coming off a 4-3 home win against the Red Sox. They will face the Angels and the Dodgers next.

The Rays have a .256 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .383 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .325 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 45, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 14 home runs.

Drew Rasmussen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 5-2 record, 3.00 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox have a 27-38 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the AL East. They have a 17-17 road record and are coming off a 3-4 road defeat against the Rays. They will face the Rangers and the Blue Jays next.

The Red Sox have a .244 batting average this season, .313 OBP and .374 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Willson Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 39, adding a team-high 13 home runs.

Jake Bennett (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 1-1 record, 4.35 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends: June 10, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen      Record this season: 5-2      ERA: 3.00
• Home Record: 3-1
• Last 5 against Red Sox: 0-1

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 12 home games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost 13 of their last 14 games at Tropicana Field following a loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Tropicana Field following a loss.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games at Tropicana Field against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jake Bennett      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 4.35
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Rays: 0-1

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Red Sox’s last eight games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last eight games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six day games at Tropicana Field.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Drew Rasmussen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Gavin Lux has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Red Sox.
• Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last five appearances.
• Yandy Diaz ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.325) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Willson Contreras has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox’s last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Jarren Duran has recorded a hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs against the Rays.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (469).
• The Rays rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (53).
• The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (49).
• The Red Sox rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (253).

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction

The Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Red Sox and have won their last three meetings in Tampa.

In this Red Sox vs Rays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -150 home favorites. The Rays are dominating this series having won both games and have a huge pitching edge today, as Drew Rasmussen goes up against the rookie Jake Bennett. Rasmussen has been excellent this season and two of his last three starts where shutouts, while Bennett was torched in his previous start against the Rays this season with 4 runs. Take the Rays to keep rolling at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML